Series of threads on each constituency:
ElectionsIreland.org: 30th Dail - Cork East First Preference Votes
There are boundary changes in this constituency as laid out in the Constituency Commission Report.
Currently: 2 FF, 1 FG and 1 Labour
David Stanton FG and Sean Sherlock of Labour certain to retain their seats and they'll probably poll higher than 3rd and 4th place as was the case in 07.
Ned O'Keeffe and Michael Ahern won't keep both their seats and there's really no calling which one of them will hold their seat.
FG will take the spare FF seat and this will certainly go to Paul Bradford. He was a TD there in the 27th and 28th Dáil however he lost elections to the 29th and 30th Dáil. In both cases he came 5th place. He is now in the Seanad but he is only 45.
I predict: 2 FG, 1 Labour and 1 FF.