Follow @PoliticsIE
 
 
 
Page 1 of 11 12345 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 108

Thread: Next General Election in Laois-Offaly

  1. #1
    Politics.ie Newbie
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Posts
    63
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default Next General Election in Laois-Offaly

    With the council elections in Laois and Offaly now behind us, how do the parties stand in this constituency. In 2007 Fianna Fail won three seats with ease and were probably closer to winning a fourth than they were to losing a seat. Fine Gael regained their seat, helped largely by the implosion in the Parlon vote. With a chunk of south-west Offaly now moved into Tipperary North, could this have a bearing on the result? Will the local election results have any impact on the next general election, or will it just be more of the same?

  2. #2
    Politics.ie Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Anywhere bar here
    Posts
    500
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    I think SF will give a good show of themselves, they are getting very popular in the constituency. They wont take a seat but will see improvement.

  3. #3
    Politics.ie Member
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Posts
    10,168
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by apkavanagh View Post
    With a chunk of south-west Offaly now moved into Tipperary North, could this have a bearing on the result? Will the local election results have any impact on the next general election, or will it just be more of the same?
    Bye bye Olwyn probably, but who'll get the seat?

    Will FG run a credible North Offaly candidate?

    Will Moloney lose out to the Kerry Joke?

    Will Labour drop in a parachute?

    Questions, questions.

  4. #4
    Politics.ie Newbie Fianna Fáiler's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Location
    Dun Laoghaire
    Posts
    53
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Fianna Fáil will run the same four candidates with John Foley possibly replacing one of the two Laois deputies. Fine Gael will run 3, their two incumbents and another, possibly Liam Quinn from Edenderry for Geographic reasons. I think people are talking up Sinn Féin looking at their local elections result they are only on around 6-7% in the whole constituency, far from taking a seat the same with Labour who will again fail to make an impact.

    So it'll probably be 3 FF, 2 FG - Same party representation but a change in personnel.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kZrK5m9SGSE - What A Legacy To Leave Behind.

    "Fianna Fáil is the party of Vision, Energy and Ideas not the passive inheritors of events, We are the history makers" - Bertie Ahern

    Economic Left/Right: -3.75
    Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 5.08

  5. #5
    Politics.ie Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    398
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by apkavanagh View Post
    With the council elections in Laois and Offaly now behind us, how do the parties stand in this constituency. In 2007 Fianna Fail won three seats with ease and were probably closer to winning a fourth than they were to losing a seat. Fine Gael regained their seat, helped largely by the implosion in the Parlon vote. With a chunk of south-west Offaly now moved into Tipperary North, could this have a bearing on the result? Will the local election results have any impact on the next general election, or will it just be more of the same?
    At the outset, I would like to say that i would support SF in any possible GE.
    I also belive that SF in Laois/Offaly have a great chance of taking a Dail seat in the coming years.Question is will the next GE be to soon for them.
    They have done well in the locals with their increased vote and If the GE was to be held late next year or beyond I think they would put in a very strong showing.

    Labour polled poorly at the locals and not electing a councillor in Laois will help SF chances.

    If properly marketed and if a clever and well funded campaign was ran I think Brian Stanley would be a serious contender for a seat. But its all about the timing.

    FG might have ambitions for a third seat.Possibly a Laois based candidate.Stanley running would hinder this as he has the proven ability to attract votes that normally would not go SF way.There is much to play for and SF in a five seater could not be ruled out.

  6. #6
    Politics.ie Newbie Fianna Fáiler's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Location
    Dun Laoghaire
    Posts
    53
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Trans-Siberian View Post
    At the outset, I would like to say that i would support SF in any possible GE.
    I also belive that SF in Laois/Offaly have a great chance of taking a Dail seat in the coming years.Question is will the next GE be to soon for them.
    They have done well in the locals with their increased vote and If the GE was to be held late next year or beyond I think they would put in a very strong showing.

    Labour polled poorly at the locals and not electing a councillor in Laois will help SF chances.

    If properly marketed and if a clever and well funded campaign was ran I think Brian Stanley would be a serious contender for a seat. But its all about the timing.

    FG might have ambitions for a third seat.Possibly a Laois based candidate.Stanley running would hinder this as he has the proven ability to attract votes that normally would not go SF way.There is much to play for and SF in a five seater could not be ruled out.
    People said the same about SF this time years ago about taking seats in places like Wexford, Waterford, Cork North Central, Dublin North East, Dublin North West, Dublin Central and Sligo Leitrim, that was after the 2004 Local's and look what happened in 2007.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kZrK5m9SGSE - What A Legacy To Leave Behind.

    "Fianna Fáil is the party of Vision, Energy and Ideas not the passive inheritors of events, We are the history makers" - Bertie Ahern

    Economic Left/Right: -3.75
    Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 5.08

  7. #7
    Politics.ie Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    398
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Fianna Fáiler View Post
    Fianna Fáil will run the same four candidates with John Foley possibly replacing one of the two Laois deputies. Fine Gael will run 3, their two incumbents and another, possibly Liam Quinn from Edenderry for Geographic reasons. I think people are talking up Sinn Féin looking at their local elections result they are only on around 6-7% in the whole constituency, far from taking a seat the same with Labour who will again fail to make an impact.

    So it'll probably be 3 FF, 2 FG - Same party representation but a change in personnel.
    I admit that 3 ff, 2 fg looks likely at this stage but its all about the timing of the election.
    SF are not organisationaly strong enough at this stage but growing pretty quickly.
    With labours poor organistion in the 2 counties, SF have much to play for in the next couple of years.

  8. #8
    Politics.ie Member
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Posts
    10,168
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Trans-Siberian View Post

    Labour polled poorly at the locals and not electing a councillor in Laois will help SF chances.
    Laois County Council - Mountmellick

  9. #9
    Politics.ie Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    398
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Fianna Fáiler View Post
    People said the same about SF this time years ago about taking seats in places like Wexford, Waterford, Cork North Central, Dublin North East, Dublin North West, Dublin Central and Sligo Leitrim, that was after the 2004 Local's and look what happened in 2007.
    They got carried away with some of those predictions. I can tell you SF in laois is very grounded in reality and knows full well what it will take to win a Dail seat.IMO, its only a matter of time but i do believe the next GE is to soon.

    Several more county councillors in five years time will be the spring board they need.

  10. #10
    Politics.ie Newbie Fianna Fáiler's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Location
    Dun Laoghaire
    Posts
    53
    Mentioned
    0 Post(s)

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Trans-Siberian View Post
    They got carried away with some of those predictions. I can tell you SF in laois is very grounded in reality and knows full well what it will take to win a Dail seat.IMO, its only a matter of time but i do believe the next GE is to soon.

    Several more county councillors in five years time will be the spring board they need.
    Maybe not at the next election but maybe in 2017 or whenever it is but if Cowen goes as Taoiseach after the next election he'll just be a backbencher and may retire for 2017 leaving an absolutley huge pool of votes to be played for and not all of his vote will remain with FF, In my opinion.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kZrK5m9SGSE - What A Legacy To Leave Behind.

    "Fianna Fáil is the party of Vision, Energy and Ideas not the passive inheritors of events, We are the history makers" - Bertie Ahern

    Economic Left/Right: -3.75
    Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 5.08

Page 1 of 11 12345 ... LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •