Was looking to do some analysis on the FF voter at the last general Election and see where they would be now... Just a general look at the grouping within FF last time out and an honest reflection of whether they would vote FF next time.
Broken a few down already and I will add to them as they are posted.
Core FF voter - Traditional FF voter, family have always been FF, 1-2-3 down the Ballot paper, Still with FF
Republican Party Voter - Votes FF as the Republican Party, understands history of the state and views their vote with FF as their effort to the cause. This voter may swing to SF
Celtic Tiger Voter Have had a FF government during their entire voting life and saw voting against FF as a vote against all the CT offered. Most definitely away from FF and may not vote next time.
Leaders Debate Voter The Undecided voter running into the last election. Thought about voting against FF but swung away from the opposition parties (mainly FG) after viewing a poor performance by Enda Kenny on the Leaders Debate. Most Likely still undecided but more likely not to vote FF next time
Bertie Voter Voters who liked Bertie, Felt close to him and were unsure & unaware of the other party leaders. Cann't see these Voters staying with Brian Cowen. May have seen more in Common with Pat Rabitte then an Eamon Gilmore imo also.
The Person Voter Voted for a Person rather then the Party. No Allegiance to FF but gave it No1 because of the Canidate in their constituency - No Idea where these voters would sit, but would see at least 1 in 3 being unhappy.
public servant voter no real party affinity but delighted with the pay rises and benefits they received by way of Benchmarking. May presently be worried for their jobs, but I would say are undecided when it comes to voting next. If anything could see thes evoters go to Labour
geography voter Voted for FF because they thought the FF Canidate locally had a better chance of being elected. Can see this voter not giving the 2nd 3rd preference vote to FF in this instance