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Thread: Demographic Tendancies point to UI

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    Politics.ie Member ArtyQueing's Avatar
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    Default Demographic Tendancies point to UI

    I have been playing around with the figures from the census and came up with the following.
    The figures are Town, Population,Catholic percentage, percentage of pop less than 16, percentage of pop greater than 60

    First the top 20 Taig Towns by percentage


    Crossmaglen 1459 98.97 27.01 14.8
    Camlough 911 98.79 27.55 12.63
    Derrymacash 628 98.25 28.02 9.71
    Carrickmore 611 98.04 28.32 14.89
    Waterfoot 505 98.01 26.15 12.86
    Glebe (Strabane LGD) 671 97.92 30.1 10.44
    Lettershendoney 504 97.83 28.96 8.93
    Clady (Magherafelt LGD) 595 97.65 28.57 13.27
    Mayobridge 841 97.5 25.93 11.31
    Rosslea 553 97.48 24.95 16.81
    Dunloy 1070 97.1 31.4 11.13
    Cushendall 1241 96.93 26.12 16.84
    Hilltown 900 96.89 27 14.45
    Dungiven 2993 96.79 29.34 11.66
    Draperstown 1638 96.7 24.35 15.01
    Aghagallon 823 96.6 32.32 11.66
    Greysteel 1226 96.58 25.37 11.74
    Toome 724 96.26 27.21 10.9
    Coalisland 4917 95.81 29.57 12.39
    Feeny 542 95.75 29.34 6.65


    Now the top 20 proddy towns

    Portballintrae 734 0.95 11.98 33.39
    Ballywalter 1416 0.99 18.50 26.98
    Cullybackey 2405 1.21 19.45 22.29
    Kells/Connor 1745 1.32 24.97 14.73
    Cogry/Kilbride 1199 1.51 26.27 7.25
    Doagh 1130 1.68 19.73 18.93
    Carrowdore 816 2.09 24.28 15.32
    Bushmills 1319 2.20 19.87 22.15
    Macosquin 597 2.35 21.79 16.75
    Portavogie 1594 2.44 20.38 18.38
    Ballycarry 980 2.85 23.06 15.10
    Millisle 1800 2.94 19.00 25.50
    Ballynure 677 2.95 22.30 15.81
    Tobermore 579 3.11 19.86 20.55
    Rich Hill 2818 3.37 26.77 13.05
    Ballinamallard 1340 3.44 24.84 14.93
    Ballystrudder 781 3.58 26.37 14.48
    Comber 8933 3.69 19.75 18.04
    Glynn 641 3.74 23.71 19.82
    Parkgate 648 4.01 26.70 14.81

    The implications are clear. There are generally less children in prody towns than taig towns and generally more wrinklies.

    So it appears that a double squeeze is being applied. The prods are not reproducing in the same numbers as taigs and they are dying out faster. (The latter is a point not often mentioned).

    Even now if the catholic birth rate per couple falls to match the protestants the fact that there are more catholics of child bearing age means that the demographoc clock is ticking in taig favour.

    Time now for prods to do a deal?
    Last edited by ArtyQueing; 23rd November 2008 at 10:17 PM. Reason: spelling error
    "You Popish rogue" 'ní leomhaid a labhairt sinn
    acht "Cromwellian dog" is focal faire againn
    nó "cia súd thall" go eann gan eagla
    "Mise Tadhg" géadh teinn an t-agallamh

    Bodaigh an Cháise táid go hatuireach
    ag filleadh ar a gcéird gach spéice smeartha aca
    gan ghunna, gan chloidheamh gan pinnse chleachtadar
    d'imthigh a mbrígh is tá an cridhe dá ghreada aca.

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    Not all Catholics in Northern Ireland would be in favour of a united Ireland, for "reasons" that I'm sure Roger2 will be along to explain soon.

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    Jayz bah! There has been alot of talk about a United Ireland lately on these boards!
    Everyone knows that eventually Catholics will outnumber Protestants in the North, nothing really that new.
    Ireland is free for another day.

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    Politics.ie Member merle haggard's Avatar
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    they already did one . The union is secure .

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    Politics.ie Member merle haggard's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Guinnesslad View Post
    Jayz bah! There has been alot of talk about a United Ireland lately on these boards!
    Everyone knows that eventually Catholics will outnumber Protestants in the North, nothing really that new.
    everyone except the statisticians it would appear

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    Demographic predictions are difficult and hard to forecast from births because of the rising tendancy of migration.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ArtyQueing View Post
    I have been playing around with the figures from the census and came up with the following.
    The figures are Town, Population,Catholic percentage, percentage of pop less than 16, percentage of pop greater than 60

    First the top 20 Taig Towns by percentage


    Crossmaglen 1459 98.97 27.01 14.8
    Camlough 911 98.79 27.55 12.63
    Derrymacash 628 98.25 28.02 9.71
    Carrickmore 611 98.04 28.32 14.89
    Waterfoot 505 98.01 26.15 12.86
    Glebe (Strabane LGD) 671 97.92 30.1 10.44
    Lettershendoney 504 97.83 28.96 8.93
    Clady (Magherafelt LGD) 595 97.65 28.57 13.27
    Mayobridge 841 97.5 25.93 11.31
    Rosslea 553 97.48 24.95 16.81
    Dunloy 1070 97.1 31.4 11.13
    Cushendall 1241 96.93 26.12 16.84
    Hilltown 900 96.89 27 14.45
    Dungiven 2993 96.79 29.34 11.66
    Draperstown 1638 96.7 24.35 15.01
    Aghagallon 823 96.6 32.32 11.66
    Greysteel 1226 96.58 25.37 11.74
    Toome 724 96.26 27.21 10.9
    Coalisland 4917 95.81 29.57 12.39
    Feeny 542 95.75 29.34 6.65


    Now the top 20 proddy towns

    Portballintrae 734 0.95 11.98 33.39
    Ballywalter 1416 0.99 18.50 26.98
    Cullybackey 2405 1.21 19.45 22.29
    Kells/Connor 1745 1.32 24.97 14.73
    Cogry/Kilbride 1199 1.51 26.27 7.25
    Doagh 1130 1.68 19.73 18.93
    Carrowdore 816 2.09 24.28 15.32
    Bushmills 1319 2.20 19.87 22.15
    Macosquin 597 2.35 21.79 16.75
    Portavogie 1594 2.44 20.38 18.38
    Ballycarry 980 2.85 23.06 15.10
    Millisle 1800 2.94 19.00 25.50
    Ballynure 677 2.95 22.30 15.81
    Tobermore 579 3.11 19.86 20.55
    Rich Hill 2818 3.37 26.77 13.05
    Ballinamallard 1340 3.44 24.84 14.93
    Ballystrudder 781 3.58 26.37 14.48
    Comber 8933 3.69 19.75 18.04
    Glynn 641 3.74 23.71 19.82
    Parkgate 648 4.01 26.70 14.81

    The implications are clear. There are generally less children in prody towns than taig towns and generally more wrinklies.

    So it appears that a double squeeze is being applied. The prods are not reproducing in the same numbers as taigs and they are dying out faster. (The latter is a point not often mentioned).

    Even now if the catholic birth rate per couple falls to match the protestants the fact that there are more catholics of child bearing age means that the demographoc clock is ticking in taig favour.

    Time now for prods to do a deal?
    Birth rates are generally higher in majority Catholic council areas.
    Poni welwch chi hynt y gwynt a'r glaw?
    Poni welwch chi'r deri'n ymdaraw?

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    "make love not war"john lennon

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    Politics.ie Member Catalpa's Avatar
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    Good news if it pans out that way but ol Catalpa has been hearing this one well nigh on 35 years now and it still hasn't happened...

    But what might happen is that the pressure for more and more links to the South grows and we will see a less divided Ireland rather than a re United one.

    I love this song:

    [ame="http://ie.youtube.com/watch?v=OB3PKNqFeO0"]YouTube - REUNITED - PEACHES & HERB[/ame]

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    Quote Originally Posted by Catalpa View Post
    Good news if it pans out that way but ol Catalpa has been hearing this one well nigh on 35 years now and it still hasn't happened...

    But what might happen is that the pressure for more and more links to the South grows and we will see a less divided Ireland rather than a re United one.

    I love this song:

    YouTube - REUNITED - PEACHES & HERB
    Why dosn't Catalpa have a look at the figures for himself then?
    Poni welwch chi hynt y gwynt a'r glaw?
    Poni welwch chi'r deri'n ymdaraw?

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