I've just realised from looking at the figures, that if FF win in both Meath and Kildare in a fortnight, they will have 82 Dail seats. Thats just one short of the magincal overall majority.
Now condsidering that they are currently in negotiations with Dr. Jerry Cowley, the indepenent member from Mayo, and I believe advances have been made to Pauge Connoly in Cavan-Managhan, and there are 5 or 6 members of the FF gene pool currently in the Dail, am I going to far into conspiracy theory land with the following scenario.
Lets say they win, and go up to 82. They reassure the electorate that the coalition is steadfast, and its staying together. The PD's then take flak for the Government, most notably Mary Harney in regard to the Pensions debacle, and Mc Dowell continues bashing the Shinners.
Over a period of time, the Pension scheme will be sorted, a system for repayment in place, which will no doubt shaft many of those entitled to repayment, but, crucially for FF, it'll be Mary getting hammered.
Sinn Fein will then win more seats in the Westminister elections, solidifying their position as the Northern nationalists party of choice, but, crucially Mc Dowell will continue to hammer them. Behind the scenes, Berties men will be negotiating with SF, to get a deal in place, which will leave Mc Dowell hanging out to dry.
As anyone knows Mc Dowell would flip a gasket, and walk, but crucially FF would have a Dail majority, and would have the ability to secure a deal on the North. This historic peace deal would make Bertie the man to solve the Irish question, cue sainthood, and even bigger overall majority, as the middle Irelanders who sway between FF. FG and PD's would flock to FF.
FG would along with the PD's be harangued for trying to stop the peace deal, and would suffer further in the polls. SF, would also take credit for any peace deal, and would come up close by Lab, leaving Labour to forget about tackling FF in the centre, while they try to secure their left wing from up and coming SF.
FF would then be sitting pretty, with an enhanced Dail overall majority, and any semblance of an opposition in tatters, and in desperate political battle with each other, rather than taking on FF.
So, does anyone think that Bertie, if he got more than 83 seats, through elctoral sucess, and members joining or re-joining, would kick the PD's to touch ?