Polling day in the US midterm elections for 2018 takes place on Tuesday November 6th 2018 for the entire House of Representatives, 35 US Senate seats spread across about two thirds of the states and 36 Gubernatorial elections as well as a host of other local municipal elections and various local referenda.
The 2018 US mid term elections have been described as one of the most consequential in many years. The reality is that most of the US Presidential and mid-term elections are described in such terms.
A key component of this election is the surge in early voting. In recent election cycles voters are increasingly taking advantage of early voting and in three key states, Arizona, Nevada and Texas, early voting totals for 2018 have already exceeded entire voting totals for the mid terms in 2014. More states are expected to follow this pattern. Voting in this years mid terms is expected to be the highest for a midterm in decades.
Most polling indicates that the GOP will loose their House majority and a number of Governorships but could possibly increase their slim Senate majority but the early voting figures could be impacting polling in unknown ways. There are several highly competitive races in each of the three main contests, House, Senate and Governors races.
The elections raise many interesting questions, can Pelosi win back the Speakership and become the first Speaker since longest serving Speaker Sam Rayburn of Texas returned to the Speakership for a third stint in the 1950s? Will McConnell retain his role as Senate majority leader? Who will be elected as leader of the GOP caucus? A number of putative 2020 Democratic Presidential candidates are up for re-election tomorrow and (assuming they win) how might the overall results impact these candidates?
Probably front and center though is what the elections will mean for President Trump and his agenda. A Democratic House could thwart his agenda with all sorts of investigations while an enhanced GOP Senate could make it easier to confirm Cabinet and judicial nominees.