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Thread: Dublin Bay South: Call the next GE results

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    Politics.ie Member Norman Bates's Avatar
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    Default Dublin Bay South: Call the next GE results

    At present the four TDs are:
    Eoghan Murphy (FG)
    Eoghan Murphy - Wikipedia
    Kate O'Connell (FG)
    Kate O'Connell - Wikipedia
    Eamonn Ryan (Green)
    Eamon Ryan - Wikipedia
    Jim O'Callaghan (FF)

    All incumbents should be contesting the next GE.

    My prediction is that FG (2) and FF (1) should retain their seats. Eamonn Ryan may be vulnerable to a surge in Labour support - doubtful - or to Sinn Féin if they put up a very strong candidate, although FF is not quite home and dry.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dublin...l_constituency)
    Last edited by Norman Bates; 1st November 2018 at 08:01 PM.

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    Dublin Bay South (4 seats): Deputy Eoghan Murphy, (Fine Gael), Deputy Kate O’Connell (Fine Gael), Deputy Jim O’Callaghan (Fianna Fail), Cllr. Chris Andrews (Sinn Féin), Senator Kevin Humphries (Labour Party), Sarah Durcan (Social Democrats), Deputy Eamon Ryan (Green Party)
    Candidates for the next (2018-2021) General Election by constituency | Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses

    SF have selected Chris Andrews again.
    We appreciate the move by the Government today and remind ourselves that it is a bail-out by taxpayers for the banks. Pearse Doherty

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    Quote Originally Posted by Norman Bates View Post
    At present the four TDs are:
    Eoghan Murphy (FG)
    Eoghan Murphy - Wikipedia
    Kate O'Connell (FG)
    Kate O'Connell - Wikipedia
    Eamonn Ryan (Green)
    Eamon Ryan - Wikipedia
    Jim O'Callaghan (FF)

    All incumbents should be contesting the next GE.

    My prediction is that FG (2) and FF (1) should retain their seats. Eamonn Ryan may be vulnerable to a surge in Labour support - doubtful - or to Sinn Féin if they put up a very strong candidate, although FF is not quite home and dry.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dublin...l_constituency)
    I expect his sister Miriam will give him plenty of free, untroubled, free publicity during the campaigb

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    Quote Originally Posted by PBP voter View Post
    Dublin Bay South (4 seats): Deputy Eoghan Murphy, (Fine Gael), Deputy Kate O’Connell (Fine Gael), Deputy Jim O’Callaghan (Fianna Fail), Cllr. Chris Andrews (Sinn Féin), Senator Kevin Humphries (Labour Party), Sarah Durcan (Social Democrats), Deputy Eamon Ryan (Green Party)
    Candidates for the next (2018-2021) General Election by constituency | Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses

    SF have selected Chris Andrews again.
    There was an expectation that Chris Andrews would have done better the last time because of his pedigree

    I think Éamonn Ryan is totally safe

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    Politics.ie Member Norman Bates's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gatsbygirl20 View Post
    There was an expectation that Chris Andrews would have done better the last time because of his pedigree

    I think Éamonn Ryan is totally safe
    I'd agree Chris Andrews was very disappointing with only 9.5%. Still not sure about Eamonn Ryan though

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    Quote Originally Posted by Norman Bates View Post
    I'd agree Chris Andrews was very disappointing with only 9.5%. Still not sure about Eamonn Ryan though
    You think?

    Éamonn is well known and liked in the constituency. Not that that always translates into votes

    There is also the perception that the Greens are the safe soft left candidates now that Labour has tanked.

    We'll see...

    (Kevin Humphreys was a good hard working guy, but lost his seat in the Labour cull)

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    Politics.ie Member Northsideman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Norman Bates View Post
    At present the four TDs are:
    Eoghan Murphy (FG)
    Eoghan Murphy - Wikipedia
    Kate O'Connell (FG)
    Kate O'Connell - Wikipedia
    Eamonn Ryan (Green)
    Eamon Ryan - Wikipedia
    Jim O'Callaghan (FF)

    All incumbents should be contesting the next GE.

    My prediction is that FG (2) and FF (1) should retain their seats. Eamonn Ryan may be vulnerable to a surge in Labour support - doubtful - or to Sinn Féin if they put up a very strong candidate, although FF is not quite home and dry.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dublin...l_constituency)
    A surge in Labour support? Are you sound of mind or just had a few?
    People sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf.
    George Orwell

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    Quote Originally Posted by Northsideman View Post
    A surge in Labour support? Are you sound of mind or just had a few?
    Norman is sane and abstemious. Underestimate him at your peril

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    Politics.ie Member Northsideman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gatsbygirl20 View Post
    Norman is sane and abstemious. Underestimate him at your peril
    Seriously can anyone see a surge in Labour support? They are presently a rudderless ship with a washed up captain and a motely crew made up of the likes of the loose cannon that is AK47 and the deluded crewman Amadan who has been drinking sea water.

    Far from a surge the tide is well and truely out and they are left high and dry.
    People sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf.
    George Orwell

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    Politics.ie Member statsman's Avatar
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    Thanks, Norm.

    Just linking this to the main thread where I plan to amalgamate all the constituency predictions to come up with our own overall GE seat count prediction.

    Constituency by constituency threads for the next GE: utilising the P.ie hive mind
    Put a thief among honest men and they will eventually relieve him of his watch. Flann O'Brien

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