Who will the next leader of the Labour Party be?
Gilmore will be gone by the autumn, he has no reason to hang on, and the party has a track record of changing leaders when things go awry.
Labour can't go in to the locals with the poll ratings he has got, and nobody believes he has the sort of political intelligence to turn these around. This is the man, remember, who couldn't get a running mate elected in his own constituency despite a huge swing to his party in 2011.
A bad showing at the locals would be truly disastrous for the Labour Party, who depend on patronage and money from the local authorities they control (and all their related quangos) for much of their support outside the unions.
So, given it can't be Rabbitte or Quinn (they have already had a go) and Howlin is too weird, who do you think it will be?