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Thread: Mid Ulster by election

  1. #1
    Politics.ie Member
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    Default Mid Ulster by election

    Any updates on turnouts, tallies etc?

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    Politics.ie Member Dame_Enda's Avatar
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    The polls have only been open a few hours. The count starts after polls close at 10 today though.
    Fair and Balanced

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    Politics.ie Member Just Jack's Avatar
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    Far from uniting unionists, I reckon this Lutton fella will achieve an embarrassing total, perhaps between 10,000 or 12,000.

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    Politics.ie Member physicist's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Just Jack View Post
    Far from uniting unionists, I reckon this Lutton fella will achieve an embarrassing total, perhaps between 10,000 or 12,000.
    Have to agree, he might even come third, behind Sinn Féin.

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    Politics.ie Member InsideImDancing's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by physicist View Post
    Have to agree, he might even come third, behind Sinn Féin.
    How close are the SDLP here? Do you see them making any gains on last time? I reckon they might make a little gain, a see a few SF voters not bothering to turn out, but they will win.
    Police ombudsman Nula O'loan - We found collusion on a massive scale, murders, intimidation, directing terrorism, attempted murder, drug smuggling, the list of crimes is endless..

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    Politics.ie Member devonish's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by InsideImDancing View Post
    How close are the SDLP here? Do you see them making any gains on last time? I reckon they might make a little gain, a see a few SF voters not bothering to turn out, but they will win.
    Will be interesting to see if many unionists lend their vote to the SDLP, it's what I would do if I lived in mid ulster (not an area that appeals so most unlikely).

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    Politics.ie Member Just Jack's Avatar
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    I expect the Provos to rump home tbh

    Can't see anything other than a comfortable Francie win.

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    Politics.ie Member belfast1981's Avatar
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    Don't see anyone other than SF winning this seat. Lutton will scrape 3rd at best I think. Maybe 4th if Alliance get a good turn out.

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    Politics.ie Member InsideImDancing's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by belfast1981 View Post
    Don't see anyone other than SF winning this seat. Lutton will scrape 3rd at best I think. Maybe 4th if Alliance get a good turn out.
    SF to rump home with Lutton second. Admittedly I haven't much of a clue about the intricacies of these things, but I think Marty polled over 50% last time.
    Police ombudsman Nula O'loan - We found collusion on a massive scale, murders, intimidation, directing terrorism, attempted murder, drug smuggling, the list of crimes is endless..

  10. #10

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    Turnout will probably be in the 55-60% region. In 2010 in south Derry the turnout was lower in unionists areas than nationalist ones so it'll be interesting what effect if any the joint unionist candidate has.

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