All the evidence suggests that, when the result of Italy's general election is known later on Monday, it will be a deafening – and sensational – Basta! (That's enough!). The publication of polls in the last two weeks of the campaign is banned in Italy. But results circulating on the internet showed an abrupt surge in support for the Five Star Movement (M5S), which wants to force a reboot, not just of Italy's sleazy politics but of its cronyistic society too.
For the first time in 20 years, we have seen an election that has not been hijacked by the sayings and doings of Silvio Berlusconi. Instead, it has been seized by another, equally controversial figure – the M5S's barnstorming frontman, Beppe Grillo.
The latest reported poll results come from surveys carried out a day or two ago. There are good reasons for thinking the M5S's final result will be even better than they suggest.
One is the likelihood that Grillo's massively attended final rally in Rome has generated last-minute momentum. Another is the weather.
Heavy snow has fallen across parts of northern and central Italy. More is forecast for Monday. There have been violent storms in the Mezzogiorno, southern Italy. And they could return.
Unsurprisingly, turnout is down. By midday, it was off by one and a half percentage points. And that favours the M5S.