The Defence Review of 2011 to 2020 is underway. Very little information is available online about it and I'm wondering if any other P.ie users have some knowledge about it that they are able to share.
Heretofore, we've discussed Irish attitudes to Defence in various areas. We've had a range of views about what way Defence policy should be heading. There are the usual posters with uninformed "Armchair General" opinions who are best ignored. So here's a thread for the informed to make a comment.
One thing that's clear is that it is going to be a radically different DF in 10 years time. This will be driven by financial concerns more than anything else.
If we see an increase in the Defence budget I'd be extremely surprised. What we may see is amalgamation of state functions with more coming under the control of the Army, Naval Service & Air Corps. What we may also see is a change in allocation of the 10,500 establishment between the three organisations, with the Army suffering. With the huge availability of skills in the ranks of the unemployed due to the economic situation the RDF will be restructured to allow for more specialised units.
Army to concentrate on Internal Security duties and expand on their Civil Defence capabilities. They will probably lose three PDF Battalions and these posts will be filled with RDF personnel. Cyberwarfare, SF, Intel & Medical Corp capabilities will be strengthened.
Naval Service will gain the strength of two of those Army Battalions bringing Naval Strength to approx 2,500 from the current establishment of 1,144.
The other "small navies" of the state will all come under Naval Service authority and there will be a more joined up approach to resources in the Maritime field. The assets of these small navies will be commissioned into the Naval fleet allowing for savings in procurement, running costs and manpower to the state. Two EPVs will be ordered for entry into service around 2015.
The Air Corps will absorb the strength of one of the Army Battalions bringing its strength to around 1,500. They will acquire medium lift military helicopters and the Ministerial Air Transport service will be put out to tender.
That's my prediction. But if you have better insider information I'd be keen to read it.