Forget about Cork Sw and Limerick W, the next by election is going to be Kildare Nth after poor charlie is thrown to the infidels in Brussels!!
Nth Kildare is the ultimate belle fair constituency and the result should echo or mirror the national mood very well!It's a heady mixture of urban, rural and suburban and with Charlie gone, F would have no guarantee of holding onto their seat in any by election. FG and the Grns both polled well in the LE with Lab struggling and the PD's being annhilated and a very strong independent vote electing indo's in 3 out of the 4 wards.
The likely contenders are going to be
FF - Conway, Kelly or Charlie Jnr
FG - Ridge, Griffin