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Thread: TV3 News - FF 22, FG 30, Lab 35, SF 4, Grn 2, Ind 8

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    Default TV3 News - FF 22, FG 30, Lab 35, SF 4, Grn 2, Ind 8

    TV3 I hear are doing a poll at 5.30 (about ~20 mins from now) - it's unusual for TV3 to poll, and I'm not sure how scientific the polls are compared to ones done by the Irish Times or the Sunday Business Post.

    So, any predictions?

    Update @ 5.30

    Bad News for Cowen and Kenny says TV3 News poll.

    Gilmore and Labour are surging ahead.

    71% say Taoiseach has lost credibility. 28% disagreed.

    1000 voters contacted by Telephone on Tuesday and Wednesday.

    Do you agree or disagree that Brian Cowen lost credibility as leader of this country as a result of that [Morning Ireland] interview?

    Agree 71%

    Disagree 28%

    Don't know 2%
    Does the controversy concerning Brian Cowen matter to you or not?

    Yes 43%

    No 56%

    Don't know 2%
    Has the current controversy following the Taoiseach's interview changed your voting intentions of not?

    Yes 10%

    No 88%

    Dont' know 1%
    In your view should Brian Cowen continue as leader of Fianna Fail?

    Yes 40%

    No 52%

    Don't know 8%
    Who should lead Fianna Fail instead of Brian Cowen?

    Brian Lenihan 46%

    Micheal Martin 15%

    Mary Hanafin 4%

    Dermot Ahern 2%

    Which party leader would be your prefence of Taoiseach

    Cowen (FF) 18% - 4
    Kenny (FG) 24% - 2
    Gilmore (Lab) 58% + 4
    Gormley (Green) 19% -6
    Adams (SF) 30% - 7

    This adds up to 149%
    How satisifed or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is running the country?

    Satisfied 11% - 2

    Dissatisfied 79%

    No Opinion 10%

    If an election were to happen tomorrow, how would you vote?

    Excl Don't knows

    FF 22 -5
    FG 30 -4
    Lab 35 +16
    SF 4 - 4
    Green 2
    Ind 8 -2

    This adds up to 101%
    Last edited by David Cochrane; 23rd September 2010 at 07:00 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by David Cochrane View Post
    TV3 I hear are doing a poll at 5.30 (about ~20 mins from now) - it's unusual for TV3 to poll, and I'm not sure how scientific the polls are compared to ones done by the Irish Times or the Sunday Business Post.

    So, any predictions?
    Depends on how the will be modifying the results, and there is no past record to go by as far as i know, but

    FF 23%
    FG 31%
    Lab 28%
    Green 3%

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    Politics.ie Member adamirer's Avatar
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    I predict it'll be sensationalist and out of kilter with the ones later this weekend.

    Hard to know when you dont know the exact questions asked. But Cowen to be mid teens, FF high teens, Lab mid 20s, FG high 20s.

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    Hard to know with no idea of the methodology.

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    It woz libation not Lehman's wot done it !
    "Yawn , am I alive yet ?"

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    Politics.ie Member Malbekh's Avatar
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    Depends on what the poll is based on?

    Let's see, popularity of parties as first preference in GE:

    FG 33%
    Labour 29%
    FF 22%
    SF 8%
    Independents 6%
    Greens 2%
    Blessed be the threadmakers.

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    FG 31
    Lab 28
    FF 21
    SF 9
    Gr 2
    Ind 9

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    Labour in first place...

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    Do we know that it's definitely Lansdowne? And what do we know of how they adjust?

    I suspect much the same as the polls were a month ago.

    FF were already down to core support.

    Maybe a slight increase for FG.
    Economic Left/Right: -2.88 (down 3.63 since the financial crash)
    Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.18

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    Politics.ie Member firefly123's Avatar
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    Well its coming on before Expose so I would imagine its going to ask is black in this season and how deep is Glendas voice going to get?

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