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Thread: Donegal North East

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    Default Donegal North East

    How do posters believe this one will go? Will MacLochlainn finally make the breakthrough? Which FF seat will he take? How will the expenses fiasco effect McHugh and also not being based in the area himself. What impact will Harte make in a General Election or will Farren, who was elected to the council under the Labour banner, seek the nomination. There has been speculation that a hospital candidate may run. I think this has the potential to be a very exciting constituency.

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    It will indeed be interesting! The most interesting aspect however will be the FF ticket? Will they allow Keaveny on the ticket from Inishowen, or will Brogan take over the mantle from McDaid and FF run the three?! FF cant ignore Inishowen, they need a candidate out there!!

    On Labour, I may be wrong but I think Farren is a mate of Harte's and was instrumental in convincing Harte to join Labour with the view of him being the candidate for the GE! I think it is a done deal already on Harte being the candidate! I think has already been announced!

    With SF, much of his chances will depend on Keaveny with the whole Inishowen vote, if she runs, they split the local vote again however McHugh wont poll as strongly out this area next time and there will be enough to take either SF or Keaveny over the line imo! If Keaveny isnt on the FF ticket, MacLochlainn will walk into a seat!

    Will FG run a candidate from Inishowen with McHugh? John Ryan?! or the former FG Mayor of Buncrana, who's name escapes me at this moment in time... I reckon they will push to be a running mate with Joe! Not that it will matter too much but it will again eat into the local Inishowen vote.......

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    Quote Originally Posted by back.again View Post
    It will indeed be interesting! The most interesting aspect however will be the FF ticket? Will they allow Keaveny on the ticket from Inishowen, or will Brogan take over the mantle from McDaid and FF run the three?! FF cant ignore Inishowen, they need a candidate out there!!

    On Labour, I may be wrong but I think Farren is a mate of Harte's and was instrumental in convincing Harte to join Labour with the view of him being the candidate for the GE! I think it is a done deal already on Harte being the candidate! I think has already been announced!

    With SF, much of his chances will depend on Keaveny with the whole Inishowen vote, if she runs, they split the local vote again however McHugh wont poll as strongly out this area next time and there will be enough to take either SF or Keaveny over the line imo! If Keaveny isnt on the FF ticket, MacLochlainn will walk into a seat!

    Will FG run a candidate from Inishowen with McHugh? John Ryan?! or the former FG Mayor of Buncrana, who's name escapes me at this moment in time... I reckon they will push to be a running mate with Joe! Not that it will matter too much but it will again eat into the local Inishowen vote.......
    I wasnt aware of the Labour situation, I wonder will Harte eat into McDaid's vote in Letterkenny?

    MacLochlainn should take a seat, whether or not Keveaney runs or not. If Keveaney runs, the FF tag will discredit her and MacLochlainn is the obvious winner here. McHugh got a big vote here in 2007 and if FG are to run a second candidate, it will be in Inishowen.

    Despite having a stronghold around Fanad, Niall Blaney is in serious trouble. Giving the unpopularity of the Government, his vote will drop and he will also will be starved of transfers. He got in on the back of Keveaney's transfers in 2007 but I believe MacLochlainn will be too far ahead of him. McDaid should be safe enough, his vote may drop but he will be more transfer friendly than Blaney will be.

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    If FF just run 2 with Blaney covering Milford/Letterkenny and Keaveney in Inishowen they may well hold their 2 seats even with a vote similar to that in the local elections, MacLochlainn may fall short yet again however he may benefit from Labour transfers and McHugh is safe!

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    Seeing it's about as far as a constituency can be from mine, I don't know a huge amount about it, but can someone answer why Harte should have more of an impact as a Labour candidate than he did as an independent.

    I know Labour are on the up at the moment, but the Labour vote shouldn't be as localised geographically as his personal vote, so it should come from all candidates
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    Quote Originally Posted by Noggin View Post
    If FF just run 2 with Blaney covering Milford/Letterkenny and Keaveney in Inishowen they may well hold their 2 seats even with a vote similar to that in the local elections, MacLochlainn may fall short yet again however he may benefit from Labour transfers and McHugh is safe!
    McDaid cant stand Blaney and came out of retirement last time round in an attempt to block him!! i would put money on McDaid or Brogan being on the ticket! Wud FF run the 3 of them again?!

    I dont see Harte making any further headway, he also had a few disillusioned FG'ers that will come back to McHugh this time round.

    A hospital candidate would really put everything up for grabs! who would it be tho? Cllr Tom Crossan the Residents candidate in the last Town Council or a member of the staff in Letterkenny General?!?

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    If SF don' make a gain here then there really is no hope for them.
    FF will certainly retain one seat, probably Blaney, McHugh shoud be safe also.
    It would not be out of the question, I suppose, for FF to take two but, on balance, I would say Maclochlainn will make it.
    I really can't see Lab being in contention.

    So: FF 1, FG 1, SF 1

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    Quote Originally Posted by back.again View Post
    McDaid cant stand Blaney and came out of retirement last time round in an attempt to block him!! i would put money on McDaid or Brogan being on the ticket! Wud FF run the 3 of them again?!

    I dont see Harte making any further headway, he also had a few disillusioned FG'ers that will come back to McHugh this time round.

    A hospital candidate would really put everything up for grabs! who would it be tho? Cllr Tom Crossan the Residents candidate in the last Town Council or a member of the staff in Letterkenny General?!?
    McDaid is out to finish Blaney so he will definitly run! Also if Keveaney runs this could be sold as an attempt to stop MacLochlainn taking a seat, which would play into MacLochlainn's hands as Inishowen will make sure they have a TD after the next election.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Rocket Man View Post
    If SF don' make a gain here then there really is no hope for them.
    FF will certainly retain one seat, probably Blaney, McHugh shoud be safe also.
    It would not be out of the question, I suppose, for FF to take two but, on balance, I would say Maclochlainn will make it.
    I really can't see Lab being in contention.

    So: FF 1, FG 1, SF 1
    Agree but I think it will be McDaid and not Blaney.

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    My bet is one for FG, FF and SF.

    By they way could someone answer me this question. When IFF merged into FF how many members would've gone to SF? I heard some people didn't like it especially Neil Blaney's children and his widow who released a statement effectively disowning Niall Blaney.

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