The prospects for outcome of general election in Mayo is fascinating. This is home of FG leader and he will be hoping to keep three seats here. Talk of a fourth is media rubbish. Kenny, Ring and Calleary are certainties, though the latter will have to deliver something for his native Ballina and North Mayo, seeing that he is a jnr. minister. Michelle Mulherin may put in a good effort for FG again, but she needs to get a team around her. After that it is all up in the air. John O Mahony should hold on, but Mayo football may need to improve and he will face a comeback attempt by quiet man John Carty, but with the tide against FF that may be difficult. I dont think FF will run a fourth. Neither do I think will Dr. Cowley try a comeback.
Castlbar is the really fascinating place. Will Bev Cooper Flynn hold on. She will be under pressure. Michael Kilcoyne formerly of labour, now Independent is doing well and would give it a good run. Rumour has it also that SF will run three this time instead of one. They have good women candidates in Rose Walsh, Belmullet, and she is wise enough to distance herself from Shell to Sea antics, and Therese Ruane, Castlebar, whose sister is a minister in NI executive,and of course Gerry Murray who ran last time.
My predictions are Kenny, Ring, O'Mahoney FG; Calleary FF;and either Kilcoyne or one of the SF candidates.