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About LinkBacksI presume by that you mean that McCain should enjoy it before things get even worse.Originally Posted by FutureTaoiseach
I presume by that you mean that McCain should enjoy it before things get even worse.
I presume by that you mean that McCain should enjoy it before things get even worse.
Hopefully the third debate will widen the gap even further.
The first two have added about 2 points each to Obama's lead.
Not really - because most of the polls are basing their turnout models on previous evidence of how each group turns out, and still have Obama ahead - so even if those groups turn out at the same level as in 2004, based on these polls he should win. Of course, given Obama's undoubted greater appeal among young and black voters in particular, its hard to believe that turnout in those groups won't be up on the historical average - particularly given the massive registration drive being carried out by the Democrats amongst those groups.
Advertising Spending by State, Sept. 28 to Oct. 4
McCain Obama
Colorado $801,000 $980,000
Florida $659,000 $2,213,000
Indiana $179,000 $614,000
Iowa $227,000 $172,000
Michigan $1,250,000 $1,590,000
Minnesota $608,000 $121,000
Missouri $193,000 $492,000
North Carolina $148,000 $1,236,000
New Hampshire $160,000 $354,000
New Mexico $144,000 $185,000
Nevada $329,000 $616,000
Ohio $1,727,000 $2,218,000
Pennsylvania $1,645,000 $2,202,000
Virginia $547,000 $2,057,000
Wisconsin $896,000$1,189,000
A lot of dead money in Michigan given that McCain has now abandoned it
Obama is now forcing McCain to campaign in VA & NC ...
cYp
"Yawn , am I alive yet ?"
Totals between FL, NC, VA and WN:
McCain $2,250,000
Obama $6,695,000
Wow..... I wasn't expecting the difference between the campaigns in those particular states to be so huge. Will all Obama's spending be rewarded with votes? I certainly don't think that Obama will beat McCain with a 2.975:1 vote ratio (the spending ratio) in those states.
Obama is spending crazy money IMHO. McCain's figures are much more in line with what I would have expected for a Presidential campaign. Obama's figures look more like what I'd expect in a quarterly report from some relatively small transnational corporation, not one man and his campaign team.
QUICK EDIT: I've just totted up the totals.... McCain $9,513,000 Obama $16,239,000. $6.7 million in the difference..... that is a hell of a lot of money.
Last edited by A_man_about_a_dog; 13th October 2008 at 07:36 PM.
Economic Left/Right: -2.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.88
Some people see things as they are and ask why? I dream things that never were and ask why not?
G.B Shaw
Just wait 'til the 30-minute commercials!
The spending by the RNC makes up quite a bit for McCain whereas the DNC does not have as much cash. I would assume the McCain campaign is taking he pragmatic view that they take their stand in Ohio if it goes there is not much point in having pumped money defending Virginia and Florida
Analysts are expecting the Dow rally to continue possibly for weeks, and that can only help McCain, as may a poll on Fox News where 80% of CEOs oppose Obama's economic policies.
Last edited by FutureTaoiseach; 13th October 2008 at 10:32 PM.
Every CEO in America would vote Republican regardless of who the candidate is, so that poll is hardly relevant.
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