If you are to use comparisons/aggregation I'd suggest 538
Also I'd suggest the Mods lock this thread as it is clearly a duplicate of obama-v-mccain-polling - who has the cojones !!?
cYp
"Yawn , am I alive yet ?"
McCafferty, I summarised the poll findings by the Washington Post and ABC News, I didn't even read the irishtimes.com article, the thread was about their poll, not the Irish Times, or any other poll. Which, as I'm sure you read the entirety of my post, links to the WashPo article in full.
Last edited by David Cochrane; 13th October 2008 at 02:48 PM.
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He should enjoy it while it lasts.
Merged with main topic.
Heavy words are so lightly thrown.
Yes indeed, it looks like McCain is do'n and dusted bar a major cock up by Obama [or Osama as it reported in today's Mail]
Mind you I still think its only fair to point out a lot off today's trouble not just money and bank wise but policy wise is due largely to Clint and his demos who started the rot with their free for all silly billy carry on.
Advances in any field are built upon people with the small or personal view.
Expect Rasmussen swingstate polls from Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina around 11 GMT. BTW RCP are taking party-affiliated pollsters like PPP(D) and Strategic Vision(R) out of its poll-averaging.
BTW, on the ABC/Washington Post poll, a number of interesting demographics:
In comparison in 2004, Kerry won Independents 51-48, African-Americans 88-11, Jews 74-25, women 51-48 and Hispanics 53-44 and non-gunowners 57-43. He lost Whites 58-41, Men 55-44, Protestants (all) 59-40, Evangelicals 78-22, Catholics 52-47 and gunowners 63-36.Obama now leads by 10 points among independents, 51-41 percent, and runs a competitive 51-46 percent against McCain among married women. White Catholics, however, favor McCain by 54-41 percent – worth watching, as they've backed the winner in each of the last eight presidential elections.
Obama makes it back, perhaps surprisingly, among non-evangelical white Protestants; normally a Republican group, they now tilt toward the Democrat – for the first time in ABC/Post polls this cycle – by 53-44 percent.
Among all white voters, McCain leads Obama by 7 points, 52-45 percent; that, however, is a bit less than the average Republican advantage among whites in presidential elections. Obama makes it back with 95 percent of blacks, as well as clear majority support among Hispanics.
There's a big gender gap. McCain and Obama are even among men; among women, who are more apt to be Democrats, Obama holds an 18-point lead, tying his biggest of the campaign. And Obama holds his best support to date, 81 percent, among sought-after Clinton Democrats – Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who preferred Hillary Clinton for the nomination.
Again, though, there are the movables, disproportionately likely to include some of the swing groups – 20 percent of white Catholics and 22 percent of independents. Movables may be a hard sell; while they could change their minds, half say it's "pretty unlikely." But movable they are, and until they settle, McCain may be down – but not out.
Last edited by FutureTaoiseach; 13th October 2008 at 05:35 PM.
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Last edited by Wigmore; 13th October 2008 at 03:41 PM.