Obama v McCain Polling

[BaudrillardNeverExisted]

Electoral-vote.com has added an interesting "on this day in 2004" feature to compare poll numbers in the Bush-Kerry race with those of the McCain-Obama race. Incredibly, on this day (11/08) in 2004 Kerry was in a stronger position than Obama is now.

Whatever the shortcomings of electoral-vote.com's methodology (which is much more simplistic than some other sites), this is comparing like with like. Obama should be worried because Kerry didn't get 7 months of universal adulation in the media before this day 4 years ago.

[youngdan]

It was a long time ago when I predicted that McCain would lose Arizona. Well much scorn later Zogby has him doing just that. Happy days.

[FutureTaoiseach]

Colorado PPP(Democratic) poll:
Obama 48%
McCain 44%

Iowa poll:
Obama 49%
McCain 44%

Oregon poll:
Obama 52%
McCain 42%

Virginia poll:
McCain 48%
Obama 47%

Virginia Continues to Lay Out as Key Battleground State in 2008: In an election for President of the United States held in Virginia today, 08/11/08, 12 weeks to Election Day, John McCain and Barack Obama tie, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke and WJLA-TV in Washington DC. Today, it's McCain 48%, Obama 47%, within the survey's 3.9 percentage point margin of sampling error, effectively even. Obama leads by 13 points in SE Virginia and by 11 points in the NE Virginia; McCain leads by 23 in the Shenandoah and by 5 in Central Virginia. McCain holds 89% of the GOP base. Obama holds 86% of the Democrat base. Independents break 5:4 for McCain. Moderates break 3:2 for Obama. Obama leads slightly among those who have graduated college. McCain leads slightly among those who have not. McCain leads among those who attend religious services regularly. Obama leads among those who rarely go to church. McCain leads 2:1 among Pro-Life voters. Obama leads 2:1 among Pro-Choice voters. Among men, McCain leads by 9; among women, Obama leads by 6 -- a 15 point gender gap. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 9. Among voters younger than McCain, the contest is effectively even.

[FutureTaoiseach]

59% polled by Rasmussen say the Russian invasion is a threat to US national security, and prefer McCain on this issue 51-36. This will help McCain.

[meriwether]

59% polled by Rasmussen say the Russian invasion is a threat to US national security, and prefer McCain on this issue 50-36. This will help McCain.

Only McCain can go to Moscow.......

[FutureTaoiseach]

A few new polls:

Florida:
McCain 48%
Obama 44%

North Carolina:
McCain 49%
Obama 45%

Kentucky:
McCain 55%
Obama 37%

Obama slipping in the Electoral College:

[Trampas]

I saw McCain on TV last night. He looked like he had just been embalmed, but he is still going to romp home.

[youngdan]

I saw him up in New Hampshire last year and had an Act of Contrition whispered in his ear before I realised he was alive.

[hiding behind a poster]

59% polled by Rasmussen say the Russian invasion is a threat to US national security, and prefer McCain on this issue 51-36. This will help McCain.

Only if it remains in the news until November. Which it won't.

[Squire Allworthy]

59% polled by Rasmussen say the Russian invasion is a threat to US national security, and prefer McCain on this issue 51-36. This will help McCain.

Only if it remains in the news until November. Which it won't.

Probably be replaced with bombing of Iran.