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  1. #641
    Dame_Enda Dame_Enda is online now
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    The Hill‏Verified account
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    Judge refuses to certify uncounted ballots that could have given Dems control of Virginia House Judge denies Dem request to certify uncounted ballots in Virginia | TheHill

    ....A federal judge on Wednesday ruled against a Democratic request to have the Virginia Board of Elections certify uncounted ballots that could affect the results in two House of Delegates races, The Washington Post reports.

    As many as 300 or so voters appear to be assigned to the wrong races, but it is unclear how many of those people voted in the Nov. 7 election, according to the report.

    “The job of the board is to certify the count,” Virginia District Court Judge T.S. Ellis III reportedly said in a hearing conducted over the phone. “Let the state process run its course.”

    His decision is a blow to the efforts of Virginia Democrats, whose aim to win the majority of seats in the chamber may rely on having the results in just one of the two seats certified.

    But the judge did leave an opening for Democrats to challenge the results by allowing the lawsuit stand, The Post reported. This would let them return to court to dispute the outcome and request a new election after the Virginia Board of Elections finishes its certification process.....
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  2. #642
    Dame_Enda Dame_Enda is online now
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    Dems have flipped a State Senate seat in Georgia, taking away the GOP's two-thirds supermajority, though the GOP still have overwhelming majority there.

    Georgia GOP loses state Senate supermajority | TheHill

    Also former Dem Tennessee Governor Phil Bredesen has announced hes in the running for Corker's about-to-be-vacated Senate seat in the election next year.
    Last edited by Dame_Enda; 6th December 2017 at 11:28 PM.
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  3. #643
    valamhic valamhic is offline

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    I have bet 400 euros of Judge Roy Moore to wind at 1/4. I will only get 100 + original bet


    Wish me luck

    Roy Moore has 7-point lead over Doug Jones in new Senate poll | AL.com

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AH3LWeUZW8
    Last edited by valamhic; 11th December 2017 at 06:53 PM.
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  4. #644
    Dame_Enda Dame_Enda is online now
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    Quote Originally Posted by valamhic View Post
    I have bet 400 euros of Judge Roy Moore to wind at 1/4. I will only get 100 + original bet


    Wish me luck

    Roy Moore has 7-point lead over Doug Jones in new Senate poll | AL.com
    "To wind"?
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  5. #645
    Justinian Justinian is offline
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    Fox News poll puts Jones at a 10% lead over Moore.
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  6. #646
    livingstone livingstone is offline
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    So of the 33 races next year, Dems now need a net gain of 2 seats to win the Senate. Still a tough ask because (a) not many GOP incumbents up for election and (b) a lot of Dems in red states are up for reelection and therefore vulnerable.

    But of the 33 - Dems are pretty safe in 13 seats (CA, CT, DE, HI, MD, MA, MN, NY, NJ, NM, RI, WA, VA). Angus King is also probably safe-ish in Maine.

    GOP are pretty safe in 5 seats (MS, NE, TX, UT, WY).

    There are about 10 seats where the GOP could target, based on being red seats (FL, IN, MO, MI, MT, ND, OH, PA, WV, WI). In reality some of those are probably pretty safe - Joe Manchin in West Virginia, Bob Casey in Pennsylvania, Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin, Debbie Stabenow in Michigan look OK. But that's still about six possible GOP pick-ups.

    By contrast, the Dems have nowhere near as many pick ups - Arizona and Nevada the most likely. A pickup in Tennessee, simply because it's going to be an open seat, can't be ruled out.

    Before Alabama, the Dem task looked impossible. They needed three pickups and no losses. And realistically there only seemed to be two available pick ups (barring a big shock).

    But now, if they did pick up Nevada and Arizona and defended their incumbent seats, that would be enough. Still a tall order, but Roy Moore just made a Dem takeover of the Senate go from impossible to merely unlikely.
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  7. #647
    NYCKY NYCKY is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by livingstone View Post
    So of the 33 races next year, Dems now need a net gain of 2 seats to win the Senate. Still a tough ask because (a) not many GOP incumbents up for election and (b) a lot of Dems in red states are up for reelection and therefore vulnerable.

    But of the 33 - Dems are pretty safe in 13 seats (CA, CT, DE, HI, MD, MA, MN, NY, NJ, NM, RI, WA, VA). Angus King is also probably safe-ish in Maine.

    GOP are pretty safe in 5 seats (MS, NE, TX, UT, WY).

    There are about 10 seats where the GOP could target, based on being red seats (FL, IN, MO, MI, MT, ND, OH, PA, WV, WI). In reality some of those are probably pretty safe - Joe Manchin in West Virginia, Bob Casey in Pennsylvania, Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin, Debbie Stabenow in Michigan look OK. But that's still about six possible GOP pick-ups.

    By contrast, the Dems have nowhere near as many pick ups - Arizona and Nevada the most likely. A pickup in Tennessee, simply because it's going to be an open seat, can't be ruled out.

    Before Alabama, the Dem task looked impossible. They needed three pickups and no losses. And realistically there only seemed to be two available pick ups (barring a big shock).

    But now, if they did pick up Nevada and Arizona and defended their incumbent seats, that would be enough. Still a tall order, but Roy Moore just made a Dem takeover of the Senate go from impossible to merely unlikely.

    I agree, the Senate is a very tall order no matter how unpopular Trump might be, and that;s simply because of the map. Last nights result definitely made it easier.

    I would also include the not impossible idea that there could be two open seats in Arizona, if anything should happen to McCain.

    Then again there is also that open seat in Minnesota now and I wouldn't necessarily call that too safe for the Democrats, especially if as expected the Governor appoints a placeholder that won't run.
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  8. #648
    NYCKY NYCKY is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by valamhic View Post
    I have bet 400 euros of Judge Roy Moore to wind at 1/4. I will only get 100 + original bet


    Wish me luck

    Roy Moore has 7-point lead over Doug Jones in new Senate poll | AL.com

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AH3LWeUZW8
    Oh dear!
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  9. #649
    Betson Betson is offline

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    Not a great night for the pollsters again. Jones was 2/1 with PP yesterday morning.
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  10. #650
    Strawberry Strawberry is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by valamhic View Post
    I have bet 400 euros of Judge Roy Moore to wind at 1/4. I will only get 100 + original bet


    Wish me luck

    Roy Moore has 7-point lead over Doug Jones in new Senate poll | AL.com

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AH3LWeUZW8
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