The problem was that the provisionals hadnt nearly enough military people involved in the organisation like for every jim lynagh,seamus mcilwaine or michael mcverry you had there was maybe twenty gerry adams's,tom hartley's etc, meaning politicos like the type mentioned before were put in charge of areas they shouldnt have had in my view.I think in the 1950s it that such a tactic might just possibly have worked. It's interesting that excessive force wasn't used to repulse the Border Campaign - and I may well be corrected - I don't think the IRA engaged directly with British Army units (of which there were very few inside the 6 counties at the time). But by the 1960s I think it was implausible, with the UK solidly locked into the US/UK/NATO security structures. More to the point, and leading on from there, in the context of the EEC/EU the idea that such a defined guerilla operation would be permitted doesn't strike me as credible.
I've mentioned it before, how some proposed open conflict with larger than flying column units at the end of the 1980s but the assessment within PIRA was that they would be annihilated. In a way low level insurgency of the type which typified the conflict was probably the best any group could do in the context of maintaining their operational viability while still flying the flag, so to speak. So, you get short-warning bombings, snipings, some assassinations and the occasional 'spectacular', and it's clearly bloody difficult to do even that...as the comparable lack of success of the INLA demonstrates. Indeed were I a dissident Republican I'd take a long hard look at them as a guide to just how hard it is to establish and maintain an armed profile. They had the benefit of taking the bulk of the Officials weapons and activists in the 6 counties, at a time when that still meant something (after all the Officials ceasefire was barely two years or so old) and yet they were unable to really mount the sort of sustained operations their larger rival was capable of. Why so? Because they lacked the same level of support in the community, lacked the links to suppliers, lacked expertise depending as time went on on more and more young and relatively unskilled members whose enthusiasm was matched only by their ignorance. And as time progressed further they fell apart into mutually suspicious and conflicting factions...
Doesn't this sound just a tad familiar?
Like for instance when seamus mcilwaine was killed operations in fermanagh almost grounded to a halt and i would say in my opinion that if he had of survived we could have avoided the enniskillen disaster maybe im wrong.
Tom barry who always defended the right to armed struggle against the british state and never indulged with hypocrisy like (the old ira fought a glorious honourable war and republicans in the north didnt) maintained that the 30's were the best time to fight for the north,but i suppose its pointless talking about missed opportuinities.
Another problem that we face is that there is too many scumbags,undesireables,hoods,druggies and wannabe hardmen wanting to get involved and they are far from being politically astute.
I will always support the armed struggle but as you say and id agree with you there is a need for anti gfa republicans to look at ourselves and think long about whats the best way forward because a phoney campaign will only end up with volunteers in prison.
Adams and his people wanted a split so that they could further their policies of surrender unhededI agree with that. Of course it'd have been better if there never was a split, but we need to remember that we are all on the same road. If a road proves the wrong one, well then its the wrong one. But arguments about whos the biggest republican does nothing for anyone.
It probably would have been better for the rsf people to stay within the provos to grow stronger in the face of the surrender process and oust adams and prevent whats happening now but thats how it goes.
The road the provisionals are on in seriously undermining the republican position and it was over forty years since fianna fail betrayal that republicans recovered.



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