I am convinced we are seeing the unravelling of the GFA. Due to unionist minimalism we see that the young people in nationalist areas are becoming increasingly disenchanted with the political process as it has been a failure for the Irish people over the last ten years. We have not seen any substantial cultural recognition.
The promise of an united Ireland by 2016 is increasingly seen as a line. It now appears that
SF has been sold a pup and cannot go back, they are trapped in a partitionist solution with no escape route and no willingness to seek one.
The political impotence of
SF's position has been exposed in areas such as the Irish Language Act, the never ending pantomine that is education under Catriona Ruane and the silly traitor remark of McGuinness.
The SDLP are unable to make capital from this debacle which shows that they are a busted docket.
That leaves the only method the disenchanted have of expressing their frustration with the political situation and increasing alienation from the political process to be the path of violence.
In the immediate the only way to stop this descent, which may or not be to their advantage, is for the unionists to be generous and give way to non-threatening requests of nationalism such as the Irish language act, which would give out a message that the unionists recognise nationalists sentiments.
However I do not believe that unionists could do this due to intransigence blinding them from seeing what is in their best interests.