Paddy Power is to offer new odds on the Lisbon Treaty referendum this week and will give prices on the size of the Yes vote in October. The shortest odds are for a Yes vote of between 60% and 65%. You get 5/1 on anything less than 50%.
Details here:
Finnegan’s Take Blog Archive Bookies backing Lisbon - but fear fickle electorate
Intesting, notwithstanding the fact that they were completely wrong last time and lost a heap of cash.
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Beijing for Beginners: An Irishman in the People's Republic
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I can't see either side exceeding 55%.
Put a bet on those two 5-1 outcomes and it could be nicely profitable.
I'd say turnout is more of a threat to them than a fickle electorate.
Last edited by locke; 15th July 2009 at 09:22 AM.
My political compass
Economic Left/Right: 0.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -6.36
Reckon you're right. It'll surely be tighter than the current polls suggest - just as polling 10 weeks before the last vote was way off.
[Sorry 78 days, 22 hours and 14 minutes before the vote..]
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Beijing for Beginners: An Irishman in the People's Republic
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