Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 11

Thread: Local/Euro-election Lisbon exit-poll

  1. #1
    Politics.ie Member FutureTaoiseach's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Dept. of FutureTaoiseach
    Posts
    39,825

    Local/Euro-election Lisbon exit-poll

    Some data from the euro elections with respect to Lisbon, including class/age/gender/party breakdowns:





  2. #2
    Politics.ie Regular Keith-M's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Posts
    15,140

    Good news here is that the strongest support comes from the groups most likely to vote (although perhaps skewed by the fact that this is an exit poll). Nothing however should be taken for granted. Every vote has to be fought for and as we saw last year, "Don't Know"'s are more likely to break to "No".
    The Mahon Tribunal found Olivia Mitchell to have received an inappropriate payment from Frank Dunlop at the time of the 1992 Election. F.G. Gael has taken no action against her.

  3. #3
    Politics.ie Regular
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Laandan
    Posts
    776

    Not much of a change in terms of reasons on both sides being irrelevant to the treaty (with the yes side being the worst culprits again).

    The top 4 reasons for voting yes have nothing to do with the Lisbon Treaty. The fifth reason clearly does, but has no specification. The top 2 reasons for voting no have nothing to do with the Lisbon Treaty (don't understand isn't really a reason - get informed!). The third reason is questionable, but since we vote to change the status-quo, the onus is on the yes side to do the convincing so you could argue that it is relevant.

  4. #4
    Politics.ie Regular
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    2,400

    18 % of Yes voters think "it's the right thing to do"

    sweet jaysus
    Sovereignty is Democracy

  5. #5
    Politics.ie Regular Keith-M's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Posts
    15,140

    Quote Originally Posted by MacCoise View Post
    18 % of Yes voters think "it's the right thing to do"

    sweet jaysus
    As bas as the 14% voting no because they have no faith in the government.
    The Mahon Tribunal found Olivia Mitchell to have received an inappropriate payment from Frank Dunlop at the time of the 1992 Election. F.G. Gael has taken no action against her.

  6. #6
    Politics.ie Regular
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    2,400

    Quote Originally Posted by Keith-M View Post
    As bas as the 14% voting no because they have no faith in the government.
    Almost agree, but that is at least in some way a political decision not some moral judgement
    Sovereignty is Democracy

  7. #7
    Politics.ie Regular
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Posts
    1,331

    Quote Originally Posted by MacCoise View Post
    18 % of Yes voters think "it's the right thing to do"

    sweet jaysus
    The problem is what does that mean? I think it's the right thing to do, but I do so for logical reasons. If I'm asked the question with those list of options it would be 3rd highest on my list of reasons. And as a reason it's pretty non-descript.

  8. #8
    Politics.ie Regular
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Cork South Central - Cork SE LEA
    Posts
    4,834

    The most baffling is the 27% of Libertas voters who'd vote yes.

    At least with Sinn Fein, they have other policies you could agree with even if you disagree with them on Lisbon. But for Libertas, it's their only policy!
    My political compass
    Economic Left/Right: 0.75
    Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -6.36

  9. #9
    Politics.ie Regular Ramon21's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    Netherlands
    Posts
    878

    Wow that's good news, lisbon 2 is almost sure to get a big yes.
    Not like the lisbon 1 where the no just won and that with lies.
    Still, even as the investor consensus ravages the euro, it's worth remembering that the same herd instinct not long ago was pronouncing last rites for the dollar. Last year, as China's central bank chief called for a new global currency and Russian central bankers dumped greenbacks to buy euros, many saw the dollar's decline as inevitable. Now, the dollar is riding high, and the euro looks bedraggled.

    "Views might change very quickly"

  10. #10
    Politics.ie Member FutureTaoiseach's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Dept. of FutureTaoiseach
    Posts
    39,825

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramon21 View Post
    Wow that's good news, lisbon 2 is almost sure to get a big yes.
    Not like the lisbon 1 where the no just won and that with lies.
    The polls are usually like this at the start of an Irish EU referendum campaign. It's the campaign that determines the outcome. I remain hopeful of a no. The Divorce referendum campaigns in 1986 and 1995 began with 66% yes votes, before sliding to defeat and 50.3% yes, respectively. Don't count your chickens.

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast

Similar Threads

  1. Replies: 40
    Last Post: 15th June 2009, 11:57 AM
  2. RTE Exit General Election Poll 2009
    By FutureTaoiseach in forum Elections
    Replies: 30
    Last Post: 8th June 2009, 02:15 AM
  3. RTE: Euro Election Exit Poll
    By FutureTaoiseach in forum Elections
    Replies: 62
    Last Post: 6th June 2009, 06:04 PM
  4. Replies: 1
    Last Post: 5th June 2009, 10:59 AM
  5. Next Euro/Local Poll
    By pundit in forum Elections
    Replies: 13
    Last Post: 27th May 2009, 09:43 PM