Some data from the euro elections with respect to Lisbon, including class/age/gender/party breakdowns:
![]()
Some data from the euro elections with respect to Lisbon, including class/age/gender/party breakdowns:
![]()
Good news here is that the strongest support comes from the groups most likely to vote (although perhaps skewed by the fact that this is an exit poll). Nothing however should be taken for granted. Every vote has to be fought for and as we saw last year, "Don't Know"'s are more likely to break to "No".
The Mahon Tribunal found Olivia Mitchell to have received an inappropriate payment from Frank Dunlop at the time of the 1992 Election. F.G. Gael has taken no action against her.
Not much of a change in terms of reasons on both sides being irrelevant to the treaty (with the yes side being the worst culprits again).
The top 4 reasons for voting yes have nothing to do with the Lisbon Treaty. The fifth reason clearly does, but has no specification. The top 2 reasons for voting no have nothing to do with the Lisbon Treaty (don't understand isn't really a reason - get informed!). The third reason is questionable, but since we vote to change the status-quo, the onus is on the yes side to do the convincing so you could argue that it is relevant.
18 % of Yes voters think "it's the right thing to do"
sweet jaysus
Sovereignty is Democracy
The most baffling is the 27% of Libertas voters who'd vote yes.
At least with Sinn Fein, they have other policies you could agree with even if you disagree with them on Lisbon. But for Libertas, it's their only policy!
My political compass
Economic Left/Right: 0.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -6.36
Wow that's good news, lisbon 2 is almost sure to get a big yes.
Not like the lisbon 1 where the no just won and that with lies.
Still, even as the investor consensus ravages the euro, it's worth remembering that the same herd instinct not long ago was pronouncing last rites for the dollar. Last year, as China's central bank chief called for a new global currency and Russian central bankers dumped greenbacks to buy euros, many saw the dollar's decline as inevitable. Now, the dollar is riding high, and the euro looks bedraggled.
"Views might change very quickly"
The polls are usually like this at the start of an Irish EU referendum campaign. It's the campaign that determines the outcome. I remain hopeful of a no. The Divorce referendum campaigns in 1986 and 1995 began with 66% yes votes, before sliding to defeat and 50.3% yes, respectively. Don't count your chickens.![]()