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Thread: How can Lisbon II be defeated.

  1. #201
    Politics.ie Member FutureTaoiseach's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by molloyjh View Post
    I got my info from a number of different sources. Boards.ie was surprisingly helpful, given that those that posted there provided sources, links etc that backed up their points. I tried here on politics as well but also found it full of hysteria and BS on both sides.

    Sites like lisbontreaty2008.ie and the Referendum Commission provided a half decent starting point and I also went to the Treaty itself in a number of cases to confirm/dispel some of the claims I had seen.
    The boards.ie that bans anyone of Eurocritical views?

    I have posted extracts of the Referendum Commission Report on the Lisbon threads in support of my arguments, including quotes specifically from the Charter of Fundamental Rights. The only hysteria comes from some pro-Lisbon supporters who are trying to link the no vote to a global recession and an Irish property crash that was already well underway in June 2008. This was my first no vote in an EU referendum, having voted yes in the previous 3. I came to a rational decision based on the merits and demerits of the Treaty and a growing concern about the lack of democracy in Europe, which I feel is aggravated by Lisbon, not least because it defies the wishes of 2 other nations who voted to reject the almost identical EU Constitution. I make no apology for my position.

    From my point of view I voted Yes for the following reasons:

    - The Commission reduction (which we agreed to in Nice) makes perfect sense given the bloated size of it as it stands. The only way to insure that it remains as impartial as possible and not local is to make sure every nation has equal ability to put forward a Commissioner. While they don't currently represent their own countries interests, if you have them directly elected by the citizens of the EU you will find them all coming from Germany and France etc. While the Parliament acts as a control to that also, there is always the possibility that the Commission could end up looking after sections of the EU.
    The Parliament has never exercised its role of holding the Commission to account. The whole thing is a stitch-up over there. The EPP and PES agree to rotate the Presidency of the European Parliament and have voted on the EP Joint Committee on Budgetary Control to suppress the Galvin Report into corruption in the EP expenses system. The EP has abdicated its responsibility to the taxpayers of Europe to rein in Brussels corruption. The EU budget has not been signed-off on by the EU Court of Auditors for 14 years. They almost make Fianna Fáil look whiter than white.

    - New QMV method for voting: Despite the No campaigns BS about our voting weight being halved, it is not. The new method provides a dynamic way of calculating each member states voting weights. Where-as before the weights were set and that meant that when new member states were introduced there was always a period of reviewing the weights the new method means that this review period is no longer required. It also means that any shifts in population (which are obviously unlikely) would also be factored in.
    The population-weight is explicitly introduced into the voting-system for the first time. Until now, the small member states were over-represented per head of population, with Ireland for example having 7 out of 345 votes (2.1%) on the Council of Ministers. The numerical weighted-vote is being abolished in favour of a population weight, reducing the effective weighted-vote of Ireland to 0.85%. It makes the small states second-class members of the EU. To form a blocking-minority, you will need 4 states including over 35% of the EU's population. In practice, this means that 4 Big States can block everything subject to QMV (over 90% of areas is Lisbon goes through) while 11 small countries would not be able to form a blocking-minority because they would be unable to pass the 35%+ pppulation threshold. The Treaty erects Chinese walls between Big States and Small states, reducing the small states to vassals of the former. Below are the present (Nice) voting weights and beside them the new population-weights that effectively reduce Ireland to 0.85% of the voting-strength.



    - President of the Council: currently we have an indirect say in this for 6 months every 13.5 years (our head of state by rotation), with the new method we get an indirect say every 2.5 years. Directly electing this position would lead to a German President or French President more often than not.
    While not exactly a fan, I'm tempted refer to Edward Carson's old adage about 'a sentence of death with a stay of execution of 7 years' in relation to another treaty. The new system removes the equality between Big and Small states that required equal rotation of the position of President of the Council every 6 months to one where the Big States can use their blocking-minority under QMV to veto any nominee that displeases them. 3 Big States plus 1 small, or 4 Big States would have the power to block any nominee they don't like. It is quite conceivable that an Irishman/woman would rarely if ever hold that post for at least a generation should this mechanism enter into force.

    - Additional role for the National Parliaments: National Parliaments currently have no input into EU legislation. With Lisbon they would be given 8 weeks to review and comment on legislation.
    They will get 8 weeks notice of new EU legislation coming from the Commission. Fine. The problem is that they will still have no power to block proposed EU legislation. The powers are purely consultative and intended to provide a veneer of democracy for an undemocratic form of govt. The way the mechanism will work is as follows: If one-third of national parliaments agree that proposed EU legislation violates the principle of "subsidiarity" (that, unless EU institutions have exclusive power, action will only be taken at a European level if it were to be more effective than acting at a national level), the Commission will have to either withdraw, maintain or amend it. Similarly, if a majority of national parliaments object to the proposal, the Commission will be required to explain its reasons. But again - and this is the important point. The Commission can press on regardless. National parliaments will still be unable to stop the EU Commission pressing on with initiating legislation. Not good enough considering the vast powers we are surrendering in terms of the expansion of QMV and the Supreme Court-type powers the Charter of Fundamental Rights will give the ECJ. And tell me this: if the Commission can't bring itself to listen to the no votes of 20 million Europeans who have voted on the EU Constitution/Lisbon Treaty, then what makes you think they will listen to a few hundred parliamentarians?
    - The much maligned self-amending element of the Treaty: This just means that rather than writing new Treaties every time there are changes to be made to the workings of the EU, which would lead to multiple treaties all referencing each other and create a god awful mess, the EU can update Lisbon. The changes themselves still need to be approved in the same way as a new Treaty would, but the implementation of the changes if approved has changed. This means that in 20 years the EU won't be a complete mess of treaties.
    It is my contention that the simplified revision-procedure is intended to circumvent the requirement for referenda in member states such as Ireland. The Crotty Judgement of 1986 stated that referenda were only required if a Treaty changed the "scope" of the EU. If Lisbon goes through, future treaty changes can be rammed through without an Irish referendum and when it comes to the inevitable constitutional-challenge, the govt will simply argue that this is within the "scope" of changes envisaged by Article 48 of the Lisbon Treaty/self-amending provisions.
    - Citizens Initiative: Allowing the citizens of the EU direct access to the Commission by petition.
    There is already a petition. As with the old one, this is non-binding. It has about as much weight as a petition to a Medieval king. And might I add you will need 1 million signatures to invoke it. And still the Commission can take no notice. The relevant amendment to the Treaties by Lisbon in this respect is the new Article 11.4 of the Treaty on European Union:
    Quote Originally Posted by Article 11.4, TEU
    Not less than one million citizens who are nationals of a significant number of Member States may take the initiative of inviting the European Commission, within the framework of its powers, to submit any appropriate proposal on matters where citizens consider that a legal act of the Union is required for the purpose of implementing the Treaties.
    - Mechanism for leaving the EU: Although I am very pro-EU it only makes sense to have a way out defined.
    Agreed. But the mechanism for invoking this process poses as many questions as answers. A QMV vote on the European Council will be required to ratify any withdrawl agreement.

    To me these are all logical, sensible changes. Maybe we don't exactly "get" anything from them, but that doesn't mean we should reject it. I also voted Yes because I researched many of the No claims and found them to be bogus. I could go through those if you like but I'm concious of the size of the post....
    Well you can research if you want. I have posted hectares of my own research on the treaty in the past year and a half, including direct quotes from the Lisbon Treaty. In any discussion on a subject matter, primary-sources are the most credible basis for arguments and that should also be the case where this Treaty is concerned. I challenge you to post which parts of the Treaty support your arguments as I have posted those which support mine.
    Last edited by FutureTaoiseach; 18th June 2009 at 02:56 PM.

  2. #202
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    Quote Originally Posted by molloyjh View Post
    So you are just going to ignore my points of fact and repeat ad naseum the same tired line? You have no evidence to suggest they did not want Lisbon, you only have evidence that says they voted No to the Constitution.

    I simply refuse to debate with anybody who holds that the Constitutional Treaty and the Lisbon Treaty are not effectively one and the same.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Trampas View Post
    I simply refuse to debate with anybody who holds that the Constitutional Treaty and the Lisbon Treaty are not effectively one and the same.
    In other words "If you disagree with me, I won't play."

  4. #204
    Politics.ie Member FutureTaoiseach's Avatar
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    If the EU Constitution and Lisbon are not essentially the same then why have EU leaders said otherwise:

    "Only cosmetic changes have been made and the basic document remains the same."
    — Václav Klaus, Czech President, in Hosposarske Noviny, 13th June 2007

    "In terms of content, the proposals remain largely unchanged, they are simply presented in a different way... The reason is that the new text could not look too much like the constitutional treaty."
    — Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, former French President and Chairman of the Convention which drew up the EU Constitution, addressing the Constitutional Affairs Committee in the European Parliament, 17th July 2007

    "As for the changes now proposed to be made to the constitutional treaty, most are presentational changes that have no practical effect. They have simply been designed to enable certain heads of government to sell to their people the idea of ratification by parliamentary action rather than by referendum."
    — Dr Garret FitzGerald, former Irish Taoiseach, Irish Times, 30 June 2007

    "A referendum now would bring Europe into danger. There will be no Treaty if we had a referendum in France, which would again be followed by a referendum in the UK." — Nicolas Sarkozy, French President, The Daily Telegraph, 14th November 2007

    "The good thing is that all the symbolic elements are gone, and that which really matters - the core - is left."
    — Anders Fogh Rasmussen, Prime Minister of Denmark, in Jyllands-Posten, 25th June 2007

    "They haven't changed the substance - 90 per cent of it is still there."
    — Bertie Ahern, Irish Prime Minister, Irish Independent, 24th June 2007

    "The substance of the constitution is preserved. That is a fact."
    — Angela Merkel, German Chancellor, speech to the European Parliament, 27th June 2007

    "There's nothing from the original institutional package that has been changed."
    — Astrid Thors, Finnish Europe Minister, TV-Nytt, 23rd June 2007

    "For Austria it was important to keep the essence, to keep the institutional side of it intact, and also to keep the Charter of Fundamental Rights. This is the essence, and we were able to safeguard that."
    — Ursula Plassnik, Austrian Foreign Minister, BBC 10 o'clock news, 7th September 2007

    "A great part of the content of the European Constitution is captured in the new treaties."
    — José Zapatero, Spanish Prime Minister, El Pais, 23rd June 2007

    "The good thing about not calling it a Constitution is that no one can ask for a referendum on it."
    — Giuliano Amato, former Italian Prime Minister and Vice-Chairman of the Convention which drew up the Constitution, speech to the London School of Economics, 20th February 2007

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    Quote Originally Posted by Trampas View Post
    I simply refuse to debate with anybody who holds that the Constitutional Treaty and the Lisbon Treaty are not effectively one and the same.
    Fair enough. I really couldn't care less. The French are happy with Lisbon though (according to ALL the evidence I have seen) so your point re the French perspective is wrong. Your opinion on the Constitution and Lisbon doesn't alter that. Given that this was the point I was making to you that's the "debate" wrapped up.

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    Quote Originally Posted by molloyjh View Post
    Until such a time as you understand WHY the French and Dutch voted No to THE CONSTITUTION I suggest you leave that point well enough alone. Like every other EU country the mechanisms to change the way they do things exist the same as here, i.e. through the courts. If noone seeks to change things (and it only takes 1 person) then its safe to assume (as no other conclusion can be reached) that they are happy enough to go without the referendum. Especially seeing as they elected a vocally pro-Lisbon man in Sarkozy and never tried to tell him they were opposed to Lisbon.

    As for the "if you don't know, vote NO" line, all I can say is that is a shameful display of the greatest problem with Irish democracy, That should read:

    IF YOU DON'T KNOW MAKE THE EFFORT TO FIND OUT. IF YOU'RE NOT BOTHERED FINDING OUT ABSTAIN.

    Your right to vote comes with the moral responsibility to educate yourself about what you are voting on. Voting out of ignorance does nothing for anyone and is a barrier to true democracy, i.e. how can you really know what you want if you don't understand it, therefore how is your view being represented?
    Sorry, I had to come back to this. Something in it got me thinking yesterday and I came to a shocking conclusion on your interpretation of democracy. You are suggesting that since people vote in their representatives that all decisions that those representatives make on behalf of their electors is valid so long as they are not challenged in the courts. Well that is a shameful conclusion. Since it is obviously your conclusion then it is fair for me to infer that you are in favour of how the Irish government handled the child abuse scandals in state/church run institutions. It would also mean that you were/are in favour the indemnity handed out to the Religious institutions. I could also fairly infer that you agree that it was right that members of FF who obviously wanted to protect the Religious at nearly any cost, that is exactly what should have been done.

    And how do you know that the French did not resist the Lisbon treaty? I'm sure many issues that arise in this country are not necessarily reported in France, so unless you live there, how can you say for certain that there was not opposition to it.

    Further, there is no way you can say that "the people" in other countries passed the Lisbon Treaty? The politicians passed the Lisbon Treaty, not the people. That really pisses me off.

    Look how much Browne is squirming over our guarantees. He in no way wants to face his people on the issue because he is fairly certain it wont be passed.

    So, dont tell me that the people of the EU have passed the Lisbon Treaty, it simply is not true, and further dont tell me you sympathise with the child abusers and rapist because you believe that governments ALWAYS act in the best interests of those that elect them, because they dont. If you believe they do, then you are a child abuser sympathiser based on what has happened in this country. I dont believe you are so you really should change your belief on political representation of the people.

  7. #207
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    Quote Originally Posted by FutureTaoiseach View Post
    The boards.ie that bans anyone of Eurocritical views?

    The population-weight is explicitly introduced into the voting-system for the first time. Until now, the small member states were over-represented per head of population, with Ireland for example having 7 out of 345 votes (2.1%) on the Council of Ministers. The numerical weighted-vote is being abolished in favour of a population weight, reducing the effective weighted-vote of Ireland to 0.85%. It makes the small states second-class members of the EU. To form a blocking-minority, you will need 4 states including over 35% of the EU's population. In practice, this means that 4 Big States can block everything subject to QMV (over 90% of areas is Lisbon goes through) while 11 small countries would not be able to form a blocking-minority because they would be unable to pass the 35%+ pppulation threshold. The Treaty erects Chinese walls between Big States and Small states, reducing the small states to vassals of the former. Below are the present (Nice) voting weights and beside them the new population-weights that effectively reduce Ireland to 0.85% of the voting-strength.

    Sounds like a 2 speed Europe!

    New Slogan: Vote No to Lisbon if you DONT want a two speed Europe

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    Quote Originally Posted by molloyjh View Post
    Fair enough. I really couldn't care less. The French are happy with Lisbon though (according to ALL the evidence I have seen) so your point re the French perspective is wrong. Your opinion on the Constitution and Lisbon doesn't alter that. Given that this was the point I was making to you that's the "debate" wrapped up.
    But the French voted against the Constitution, by a wide margin.

    Lisbon IS the Constitution (but is called a treaty).

    Therefore the French surely disagree with Lisbon.

    (Unless of course they had another referdum since that I haven't heard of?)

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    Quote Originally Posted by molloyjh View Post
    The French are happy with Lisbon though (according to ALL the evidence I have seen) so your point re the French perspective is wrong.
    The French are not happy with Lisbon, they voted for someone who didn't propose Lisbon when he was elected, and who thereafter publicly declared he ratified Lisbon through parliament because he was certain a new referendum would yield a new no.

    molloyjh you don't lie skillfully.
    [size=1][color=grey]My name is Plissken[/color][/size]

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    Neither should it be forgotten that up to early 2007 the "all party" view in Dail Eireann was that the French and Dutch should be thrown some protocols on climate change (for heaven's sake) and asked to vote again on the Constitutional Treaty. Suddenly and with one bound the CT was cloned, Lisbon emerged and the onus to vote again was on us.
    The words "sharp practice" go nowhere close to describing this stuff.

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