alas the other thread has become clogged up with personal clashes so, those involved please remain there and leave this thread to election predictions only.
as of now this is my read on the areas
borris
eddie kirwan has pulled out of the race. 5 of the 6 seats are done deals. 3fg 2ff. word is that phelan the 3rd ff is toast, so that leaves the 6th seat between labours fiztpatrick and fg king, both from rathdowney, the latter is the more popular in the area, although it will be take a clinical voting strategy for fg to win 4/4......so 3fg, 2ff and a.n.other
emo
the battle of all battles....cribben and deegan for sure, no chance mcevoy whatsoever as only 1ff will return. after that any of 4 for the other 2 seats, given the history of the area as pro pd, mitchell may scramble home and anyone except ff for the 4th seat.
portlaois
3 and only 3 for fg. stanley and jacob. lodge the number one for ff. the last seat is between the 2nd ffer Fitzgerald and O Brien of Labour. I doubt if the nigerian will figure. i would call it a 2nd for ff as long as internal fighting does not lead to a self destruct.
luggacurran
non event. 2ff 2fg
tinnahinch
2ff, 1fg and the final seat lost by the ff genepool to either the 2nd fger or Bowe of Labour.
in the east Euro election. 2fg and 1ff will be the result.



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