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  1. #1
    FloatingVoterTralee FloatingVoterTralee is offline

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    Kerry South - Predictions

    With the Healy-Rae seat under pressure, here is the field and my prediction:

    Fianna Fáil: John O'Donoghue
    Mark Daly/Michael Cahill
    Fine Gael: Tom Sheahan
    Brendan Griffin
    Labour:Marie Moloney
    Sinn Féin:Lynne Ní Bhaeoghlán
    Independent: Michael Healy-Rae

    No prizes for suggesting that Donoghue will top the poll, followed by Sheahan, but the final seat will be a three-way dogfight. Moloney could be a future TD, but the next election will come too soon, and while it's foolish to underestimate the Healy-Raes, Griffin's base in Castlemaine and the Dingle Peninsula should be decisive.

    1. O'Donoghue
    2. Sheahan
    3. Griffin
    Last edited by FloatingVoterTralee; 26th September 2010 at 03:10 PM.
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  2. #2
    morbro morbro is offline

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    Don't agree with your prediction. A year ago I would have said that O'Donoghue would have headed the poll, but a big change in political landscape since. I believe Moloney, Lab will get a seat with the Gilmore Gale. FG will not get two seats here, maybe change of personalities Griffin instead of Sheahan. Michael Healy Rae and John o'Donoghue fighting for last seat, could go either way.
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  3. #3
    paullott paullott is offline

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    O'Donoghue and Sheahan shpuld be safe but I doubt if there are enough FG or Castlemaine/Dingle votes to elect Griffin without a large Labour transfer. Could be that Griffin's votes elect Moloney/Labour instead. I think the H-Rae dynasty is shaky and won't transfer. A lot of bluster in the past by JHR about doing many things for West Kerry but nothing delivered. Votes for him might be scarce here.
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  4. #4
    cricket cricket is offline
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    Quote Originally Posted by paullott View Post
    O'Donoghue and Sheahan shpuld be safe but I doubt if there are enough FG or Castlemaine/Dingle votes to elect Griffin without a large Labour transfer. Could be that Griffin's votes elect Moloney/Labour instead. I think the H-Rae dynasty is shaky and won't transfer. A lot of bluster in the past by JHR about doing many things for West Kerry but nothing delivered. Votes for him might be scarce here.
    Did JHR ever manage to get that property approved as an asylum / refugee centre ? He was in favour , wasn't he ?
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  5. #5
    adamirer adamirer is offline
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    does anyone actually KNOW what he 'delivered'. Was there ever a list produced?
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  6. #6
    True Republican True Republican is offline

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    Quote Originally Posted by adamirer View Post
    does anyone actually KNOW what he 'delivered'. Was there ever a list produced?
    1) He got a few potholes fixed.
    2) He got a new by-pass.
    3) He got people hiked up on the waiting list.
    4) He helped people get on the social housing list.
    5) He's great craic who likes to buy a round of drinks.

    Just your typical parochial, parish pump politician.
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  7. #7
    Cai Cai is online now

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    1. Griffin
    2. Sheahan
    3. O'Donoghue
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  8. #8
    chief joseph chief joseph is offline

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cai View Post
    1. Griffin
    2. Sheahan
    3. O'Donoghue
    Did you use a pin to pick these 3 out because there is'nt a hope of FG taking 2 seats here,not any time soon anyway.
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  9. #9
    Fencing Fencing is offline

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    O' Donoghue topping the pole is the perfect example that in Irish politics that you can make a mockery of the country but as long as you take care of your own, you'll be fine
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  10. #10
    Cai Cai is online now

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    Quote Originally Posted by chief joseph View Post
    Did you use a pin to pick these 3 out because there is'nt a hope of FG taking 2 seats here,not any time soon anyway.
    Oops - I meant:

    (1) Moloney
    (2) Sheanhan
    (3) O'Donoghue

    I went to a political meeting after work, after which a pub was entered where drink was taken, after which my ability to cut & paste was impaired.

    Apologies all round.
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