Thanks for the video link, Huésped.
It is far from convincing.
The three people who appear
could be Rozsa Flores, Arpad and Dwyer, but, at least in that 20 second clip, none of them is shown clearly. The entire clip is slightly blurred.
The audio is even less convincing. The person allegedly speaking ('Rozsa Flores') is moving about. At one point he has his back to the camera. At the end, he is facing downwards. But the sound level/frequency of the voice remains unchanged.
It is not even clear that the moving figure - allegedly 'Rozsa Flores' - is actually the one speaking. Even if the audio content is authentic, the unchanging sound level would make more sense if the voice belonged to someone else, possibly the person holding the phone,
speaking to Rozsa Flores.
The content of what is being said is also unclear. The speaker is definitely using Spanish, but only about 25% of the words are anyway clear.
The other two people who appear - who
could be Arpad and Dwyer - do not appear to be listening to the speaker (which would make sense, since they are unlikely to have understood Spanish). 'Arpad' appears to be reading a newspaper.
If authentic, this could have been recorded by one of the group's hosts/contacts in Santa Cruz, who later passed it on to the police in order to save his own skin.
It is also possible that the video was found on a phone in one of the hotel rooms following the police assault, and was recorded by a member of the group. If so, the audio could have been tampered with afterwards.
Even if it is authentic, it provides a stronger indication that Dwyer probably wasn't aware of what was being discussed in this type of informal conversation.
As for the content, even if it turns out to be 100% authentic, I have read more sinister implied threats against members on the Irish Government on
p.ie (I recall what some people jokingly wished had happened to a certain Minister after the door fell off his helicopter!). If this is the strongest evidence of a plot to assassinate Evo Morales, the Bolivian Government is really grasping at straws.