Israeli election results

[Clanrickard]

Yisrael Beiteinu is socially fairly liberal and seemingly has many Christian supporters. Apart from the bigoted xenophobia they'd be a natural fit with labour.

[Objecteev]

Two wings of bad bstards - neither of which will treat the palestinians as human.

You are talking about Hammas and Fatah. right?

[KingKane]

I noticed on the beeb mention that both lieberman and livni favour electoral reform that would produce stronger governments that might be reason for him to in with her temporarily to pass those changes.

[dmc444]

They agree on Electoral reform and Gay Marriage.

BUT on defence issues they are a great deal apart and that was the number 1 issue in this election.

Channel 10 Isreal- 42% vote counted Kadima is just ahead by 1% and are projecting Right Wing Bloc with Likud at the head would have 64 seats giving them a majority.

Results I have so far- Right Wing parties ahead with almost 60 seats

Kadima-30
Likud-28
Yisrel B-15
Labour-13
Shas-9
Pensioners-7
Arab-6
Torah-5
Meretz-4
National Union-3

[dotski_w_]

Yisrael Beiteinu is socially fairly liberal

compared to yourself Ricky?

and seemingly has many Christian supporters.

"Many"?? 2% of the population of Israel is Christian (most of them Arab, I'd have thought)

Where do you get these factoids? Is there some sort of parallel universe porting into your laptop?

[dotski_w_]

While maybe Yisrael Beytenu should be considered far right, Likud (having some party members which are) is not far right, but simply right.

And back to forming a government, nothing really stands in the way of the following combo: Kadima, Likud, Avoda.

"Nothing"?? OK, you're there and I'm not ..... but nothing? Labor and Likud surely have burnt their bridges long ago, Kadima wouldn't have been necesary to form otherwise.

[dotski_w_]

Results I have so far- Right Wing parties ahead with almost 60 seats

Kadima-30
Likud-28
Yisrel B-14
Labour-13
Shas-9
Pensioners-7
Arab-6
Torah-5
Meretz-4
National Union-3

If that's right (with 1 seat to assign as it comes to 119) the right have;
Likud-28
Yisrel B-14
Torah-5
National Union-3

= 50 seats

The centre-left and centre (assigning Kadima to the centre)
Kadima-30
Labour-13

= 43 seats

The left
Pensioners-7 (seriously, they're pretty rad...)
Arab-6 (left in this context, not sure their posn on gay marriage, may be worse than Yisrel!)
Meretz-4

= 17 seats


Leaving up for grabs Shas

Thats
Right = 50 seats
c/left = 43 seats
left = 17 seats
Shas = 9 seats

Basically Shas (yet again) look like they will make the decisions unless Kadima Likud decide to form an 'elephant coalition' with a choice of Labor, Shas (or at a stretch the pensioners).

IMHO, odds at this stage are as follows;

Likud/Yisrael/Shas 25%
Kadima/Likud/Shas 22%
Kadima/Likud/Lab 18%
Kadima/Likud/Lab/Shas 15%
Kadima/Lab (supported by left) 8%
Something else mad................ 12%

wotcher think objeceev - that an OK call from ireland?

[dmc444]

sorry Yisrel are projected to have 15 not 14 sorry. That is on the basis of exit polls and 42% of the vote so id expect some changes.

My Sources are Channel 10 in Isreal and France 24/CNN are coming in with the same numbers.

Livini has proposed a national unity government with Likud but i think Likud have refused that offer.

Likud are generally said to be the most likely to form a coalition government.

Some new numbers- 50% of vote in

Kadima-29 seats
Likud-27
Isreal B-16
Labour-13
Shas-10
Torah-5
Nat union-3

I dont have anymore parties standings.

[dotski_w_]

sorry Yisrel are projected to have 15 not 14 sorry. That is on the basis of exit polls and 42% of the vote so id expect some changes.

I'd say that's as close as 1 seat per party - practically perfect really as changes are likely to cancel out in terms of left/right

Livini has proposed a national unity government with Likud but i think Likud have refused that offer.

Likud are generally said to be the most likely to form a coalition government.

NU looks liklier to me than did an hour or 2 ago.... still odds-against but rising.

[dmc444]

53% of the vote in showing Kadima with 28 seats to 26 seats for Likud.