The Coming War In Pakistan

[Asi-Irish]

I have a feeling Pakistan is going to be forced to implode in the coming 2-3 years.

The IMF just issued the government a loan, to cover the cost of imports. In return, the government is going to make a number of structural readjustments:
*Lower wages to reduce inflation
*Reduction in public spending
*A new 7% tax on the production of wheat (There has been a chronic shortage of wheat over the past year, those who can afford to, stock up on massive amounts when they can. In some cases, people sometimes have to drive a half hour out of the capital in search of wheat)

The situation is already volatile. Already there has been conflict between provinces over resources (food, electricity and so on). If the federal government doesn't have the cash to make transfers to the provinces, we could see the Balkanization of the country. A process which also involved the IMF/WB.

A few months ago, 450,000 people fled the fighting in the north to camps.

Then Mumbai happened.

Now read below, talk about the perfect storm.

I'd say half the people on the board are creaming themselves at the possibility of a major war in Pakistan.

Alarm raised on threat of mass assault

By Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington

Published: December 4 2008 02:00 | Last updated: December 4 2008 02:00

Terrorist organisations would succeed in using weapons of mass destruction within five years unless the world community "acts decisively", according to a congressionally mandated commission set up to scrutinise WMD after the September 11 attacks.

"It is more likely than not that a weapon of mass destruction will be used in a terrorist attack somewhere in the world by the end of 2013," according to the report, released yesterday by the commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism.

The report singled out Pakistan, a nuclear power, as the weakest link in global non-proliferation. Pakistan posed a "serious challenge" to US national security in the short and medium term, it said.

"Were one to map terrorism and weapons of mass destruction today, all roads would intersect in Pakistan . . . Pakistan is an ally, but there is a grave danger it could also be an unwitting source of a terrorist attack on the US," said the report.

The commission urged the Obama administration to create a strategy for Pakistan, including efforts to secure nuclear and biological weapons, while eliminating terrorist safe havens using "military, economic and diplomatic means".

Full story here: FT.com / UK - Alarm raised on threat of mass assault

[BodyofEvidence]

I have a feeling Pakistan is going to be forced to implode in the coming 2-3 years.

The IMF just issued the government a loan, to cover the cost of imports. In return, the government is going to make a number of structural readjustments:
*Lower wages to reduce inflation
*Reduction in public spending
*A new 7% tax on the production of wheat (There has been a chronic shortage of wheat over the past year, those who can afford to, stock up on massive amounts when they can. In some cases, people sometimes have to drive a half hour out of the capital in search of wheat)

The situation is already volatile. Already there has been conflict between provinces over resources (food, electricity and so on).

A few months ago, 450,000 people fled the fighting in the north to camps.

Then Mumbai happened.

Now read below, talk about the perfect storm.

I'd say half the people on the board are creaming themselves at the possibility of a major war in Pakistan.

Alarm raised on threat of mass assault

By Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington

Published: December 4 2008 02:00 | Last updated: December 4 2008 02:00

Terrorist organisations would succeed in using weapons of mass destruction within five years unless the world community "acts decisively", according to a congressionally mandated commission set up to scrutinise WMD after the September 11 attacks.

"It is more likely than not that a weapon of mass destruction will be used in a terrorist attack somewhere in the world by the end of 2013," according to the report, released yesterday by the commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism.

The report singled out Pakistan, a nuclear power, as the weakest link in global non-proliferation. Pakistan posed a "serious challenge" to US national security in the short and medium term, it said.

"Were one to map terrorism and weapons of mass destruction today, all roads would intersect in Pakistan . . . Pakistan is an ally, but there is a grave danger it could also be an unwitting source of a terrorist attack on the US," said the report.

The commission urged the Obama administration to create a strategy for Pakistan, including efforts to secure nuclear and biological weapons, while eliminating terrorist safe havens using "military, economic and diplomatic means".

Full story here: FT.com / UK - Alarm raised on threat of mass assault

Its a massivly failed state. A classic example of sectarianisim not working. for all its faults, India is more or less not always a failed state. Pakistan's collapse will se the wildmen in the hills coming down with stax of dollars (ironic, no) to buy the nukes. Of course, they will have to deal with the US/Israeli/Indian/Russian special forces who will be tripping over themselves to take them out of te hands of the muj-loons. Thanks be that they havent got a delivery system that can reach israel... But they could sell them to Iran which has the range.

[toxic avenger]

The army will turn on the government if they sense an Islamist takeover. Pakistan is in for a rough ride within a few years.

[foxhill]

pakistan: thus far & no further

I read this article

Pakistan: Thus far and no further - Sify.com

[southwestkerry]

... and their was silly old me thinking they would eye up taking over Afghanistan once the Brits and Yanks decided enough was enough. Maybe now the opposite well happen- as opposed to India getting any ideas.

[Asi-Irish]

This part is particularly chilling:

A divided Pakistan, a bleeding Pakistan, a Pakistan ever on the verge of collapse without actually collapsing --- that should be our objective till it stops using terrorism against India.

[Asi-Irish]

A bit of a hint at what RAW is already up to? Hastening the collapse of Pakistan?

[Catalpa]

A bit of a hint at what RAW is already up to? Hastening the collapse of Pakistan?

Does a Leopard change its spots?

[drbob1972]

step 1, secure / negate / destroy any nukes they have
step 2, build a big fence and let them at it...
step 3, who gives a feck

[Clanrickard]

step 1, secure / negate / destroy and nukes they have
step 2, build a big fence and let them at it...
step 3, who gives a feck

It is a sectarian state which has allowed the Islamists too much power. The chickens are coming home to roost. All Islamic states should heed the lesson and put the kibbosh on any and all Islamist parties. Egypt could be heading the same way if they let the MB get more pwoer..