Going by the Red C Carlow Nationalist poll today it is pretty apparent as the figures stack up that John Paul Phelan looks set to take the Fine Gael seat in Carlow/Kilkenny with him on (9%) with Phil Hogan and Fergal Browne (6%). Surely with the transfers he’s bound to pick up from both of them he looks a safe bet with even the unthinkable now looking like a distinct possibility that Hogan could lose his seat.
An untested Labour vote due to Pattison’s departure following on from his automatic selection as CC of the Dáil, a backlash against FF in Carlow following the Sugar Beet debacle, an unquantifiable youth vote that he will get and in my opinion a serious over estimation of Mary Whites prospects all bode well for the young guy from Kilkenny.



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