Most of the conventional wisdom on this site is that Fianna Fail are destined to lose at least some Dail seats in the upcoming election for a variety of reasons some good some bad.
What I want to know is who do the random punters either in Fianna Fail or not think is going to lose their seat? Reasons & constituencies would be appreciated
'wisdom', on this site!Originally Posted by NGTR
"Be advised, my passport's green / No glass of ours was ever raised / To toast the Queen." Seamus Heaney 1982
"I'm a bit of a green myself" Charles Haughey 1989
Dun L
Mary Hanafin to top poll with 2,000 plus votes over quota
Andrews safe on transfers and a good 7,000 first preferences
Dublin South
Brennan if he runs will be safe as houses
Kitt,my prediction will topo the poll over wee Seamus.
Kitt is a lot hungrier
That's because FF posters are well out numbered!!
the 'Wisdom' biased you fool!
An eye for an eye makes us all blind
Mohandas Gandhi
Economic Left/Right: -5.88
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.13
Alright well not just the 'wisdom' on here but in the press & coming from most commentators (not commentator) is that Fianna Fail are bound to drop some if not a lot of seats so who & were?
Inflation stable, House prices rising, unemployment negligiible apart from the lazy wont work brigade. FF will not lose many or even several seats. Conventional wisdom, as usual, ignoring the reality out there.
exactly, why change when we have never had it so good...stop stirring it NGTR and go worry about your own party
An eye for an eye makes us all blind
Mohandas Gandhi
Economic Left/Right: -5.88
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.13
You did exist during the local elections last year, did you? You know, where FF dropped 80 seats?
"If there is a future, it will be Green." - Petra Kelly.
The locals and europeans of last year must be taken into account when discussing the potential outcome of the next General Election.Remember that those elections left FG neck and neck with FF in local councils and ahead of them in the European Parliament.
The Government's lenghty list of failures must not be forgotten either.Failure to deliver Health reform, inability to get value for public expenditure, grose incompetence at Abbotstown and elsewhere,inaction for so long on the second terminal at Dublin airport, a plethora of stealth taxes and the whole Colombia three thing could yet turn out to be a major problem for them depending on how they handle it.
Also the mere suggestion of a SF/FF alliance after the next election will alienate FF's business voters as will the split (sic) in FF between the 'socialists' and pd leaning deputies.FF basically are a mess and will drop seats, particularly in Dublin and marginal rural seats held in 2002 agaisnt the backdrop of a weaker opposition
Ceann C
Thats the thing I'm not worried about my party ooh someones touchy. If you make a seat gain I've no problem in eating humble pie but you wont its a simple question where will Fianna Fail lose out-or to be a bit more PC were are Fianna Fail a bit vulnerable?
Head out of the sand commentator all those successes yet so many young irish people are being forced to live miles away from their birthplace spend a half hour getting out of their estates spending 2 hours driving to and from work, God help their children/spouses if they have any.
Reams of housing estates stretching Dublin's suburbs to Arklow, Longford, Portlaoise, Gorey, Drogheda etc. A richer country but do we have a richer society.
I'm afraid your the ones ignoring reality-theres a real reason to change now.
Fine Gael/Labour vs Fianna Fail/Sinn Fein
Which is going to be the more appealing option?
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