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About LinkBacksAh yes, the long grass theory, a favourite of so many here. I don’t subscribe to it myself, fact is I don’t understand it. If they’re hiding in the long grass, how does anybody know they’re there?Originally Posted by twowheelsgood
Ah yes, the long grass theory, a favourite of so many here. I don’t subscribe to it myself, fact is I don’t understand it. If they’re hiding in the long grass, how does anybody know they’re there?
First off, this is only a single poll and we don't know the sample size. If its a normal size then there is a margin of error of +/- 2%. Second, Sinn Féin's position in this poll is broadly in line with its position in the RedC polls in the run up to the general election. This tells us that Sinn Féin have consolidated their vote. Third, Sinn Féin are in the business of sustainable vote growth not flash in the pan type vote increase. The party is the only party in the 26 counties which has increased its vote share in each and every like for like election in the 26 counties since the 1980s, a record of sustainable growth that no other party can match. Finally, these figures relate to first preferences and misses improvements in transfer friendliness.
RIRA not in my name-Traitors to Ireland MMcGuinness; People are entitled to cultural & social equality MLMcDonald; We have a length to go understanding unionism GAdams
The sample size is the same for their other polls circa. 1000 taken at the begining of the week.First off, this is only a single poll and we don't know the sample size. If its a normal size then there is a margin of error of +/- 2%. Second, Sinn Féin's position in this poll is broadly in line with its position in the RedC polls in the run up to the general election. This tells us that Sinn Féin have consolidated their vote. Third, Sinn Féin are in the business of sustainable vote growth not flash in the pan type vote increase. The party is the only party in the 26 counties which has increased its vote share in each and every like for like election in the 26 counties since the 1980s, a record of sustainable growth that no other party can match. Finally, these figures relate to first preferences and misses improvements in transfer friendliness.
I'm sorry, but the original point was correct, when you make a like with like comparision, SF lost support in the 2007 election compared with 2002. If that trend continues, SF would very well lose council seats in 2009. Also depending on how the Euro constituencies are split MLM could be in serious danger of losing her Euro seat, especially given the party's collapse in Dublin in May.First off, this is only a single poll and we don't know the sample size. If its a normal size then there is a margin of error of +/- 2%. Second, Sinn Féin's position in this poll is broadly in line with its position in the RedC polls in the run up to the general election. This tells us that Sinn Féin have consolidated their vote. Third, Sinn Féin are in the business of sustainable vote growth not flash in the pan type vote increase. The party is the only party in the 26 counties which has increased its vote share in each and every like for like election in the 26 counties since the 1980s, a record of sustainable growth that no other party can match. Finally, these figures relate to first preferences and misses improvements in transfer friendliness.
A little lesson on geographic and political terms for dummies :
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So Fianna Failers and a fair proportion of Greens think corruption is OK.
Hardly a surprise.
The Red C polls indicate a slow but steady decline in the SF vote. This is the lowest ever result for SF in a Red C poll.First off, this is only a single poll and we don't know the sample size. If its a normal size then there is a margin of error of +/- 2%. Second, Sinn Féin's position in this poll is broadly in line with its position in the RedC polls in the run up to the general election. This tells us that Sinn Féin have consolidated their vote. Third, Sinn Féin are in the business of sustainable vote growth not flash in the pan type vote increase. The party is the only party in the 26 counties which has increased its vote share in each and every like for like election in the 26 counties since the 1980s, a record of sustainable growth that no other party can match. Finally, these figures relate to first preferences and misses improvements in transfer friendliness.
Vive le Québec libre ! Ná cuir an milleán ormsa - vótáil mé "Tá"!
No bad news for any party so. FF will be happy, FG will be happy, PDs thrilled, Greens over the moon, Labour have no cause for disappointment...I guess the shinners will be a bit unhappy but taking the margin of error into account, they shouln't be.
FG are well poised going into thsi Dail. The vote has been rock solid on 27% since the Local and European elections in 2004. With more talent at their disposal as the new term approaches, and facing an FF on 40% I'd be very optimistic.
It shows that FG don't need FF to be down in order to hold what it has, and shows that major gains could come into play should Fianna Fail's fickle support erode away.
This does not bode well for SF in the Locals. FF are really doing a number on ye.
Says a lot about us. Does this mean that 41 per cent (including 60 per cent of Fianna Fail voters) believe Ahern should remain as Taoiseach, if it's shown he lied under oath to the Tribunal. On the face of it, perjury gets the thumbs up from a sizable swathe of the electorate!
FF support is fickle. In 2004 it slumped to 32%, days before the election this year it was 5% down.
If Ahern is found out, the economy slumps, the electorate finally becomes sick of looking at the same tired faces you could see FF down considerably.
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