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Thread: Dublin predictions for European elections

  1. 27th March 2009, 09:30 PM #1
    Big Bobo
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    Dublin predictions for European elections

    Will Mary Lou hold her seat? Will FF take a drumming? How many votes will Joe Higgins get? Can De Rossa top the poll?
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  3. 27th March 2009, 09:33 PM #2
    Marlowe
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bobo View Post
    Will Mary Lou hold her seat? Will FF take a drumming? How many votes will Joe Higgins get? Can De Rossa top the poll?
    My guess is that she will.FF have no chance of retaining their seat.
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  4. 27th March 2009, 09:35 PM #3
    Big Bobo
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    Here are the 2004 results

    ElectionsIreland.org: 2004 Euro - Dublin First Preference Votes


    will be a bigger squeeze this time round however
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  5. 27th March 2009, 09:43 PM #4
    Iarmhi Gael
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    Would love Joe Higgins to get in.

    FG & Labour will get their. Really don't know about SF.
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  6. 27th March 2009, 09:44 PM #5
    NM_123
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    I would imagine De Rossa and Mitchell are safe.

    Then we have McDonald, Ryan, Bacik and Higgins, which is difficult to predict as it will depends on who is eliminated when.

    Anyone know of any recent polls...?
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  7. 27th March 2009, 09:46 PM #6
    Big Bobo
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    Quote Originally Posted by NM_123 View Post
    I would imagine De Rossa and Mitchell are safe.

    Then we have McDonald, Ryan, Bacik and Higgins, which is difficult to predict as it will depends on who is eliminated when.

    Anyone know of any recent polls...?
    Would you say Labour voters would give transfers to Higgins?
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  8. 27th March 2009, 09:54 PM #7
    Iarmhi Gael
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    I'd say Joe Higgins would get better support this time against the SF supporters. People seem to have got tired of Mary Lou McDonnell. Not against the party but Mary lou I have found
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  9. 27th March 2009, 10:04 PM #8
    NM_123
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bobo View Post
    Would you say Labour voters would give transfers to Higgins?
    Well I will be ... (though I will have consider exactly how far I can get my stone to skip).

    I think if Higgins can get ahead of McDonald he has a good chance of taking the 3rd seat. FG and Labour only have a very outside chance of an additional seat. FF are in free-fall. FG transfers may be spread but Labour's are likely to go to Higgins/McDonald/Ind than others. FF may pick some up from the Greens but I'll wager they won't be too numerous. Assuming it boils down to Higgins/McDonald/Ryan then if the 1st is eliminated then McDonald would probably be in, if the 2nd or 3rd then its hard to call. But then it's a long way away ...
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  10. 27th March 2009, 10:15 PM #9
    Lthse
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    Please, please,pretty please don't let mithell be re-elected
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  11. 27th March 2009, 10:19 PM #10
    jmcc
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    I think that De Rossa's activity on voting against Ireland will be used against him and it will have an effect on his chances of holding his seat.

    Regards...jmcc
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