Well, it is clearly obvious that the Government is going to lose popularity if they succeed in getting the treaty passed without a referendum. It would be hard to with nearly 3 quarters of the population wanting a referendum. Also, on the actual vote (excluding don't knows), it seems that the YES side is winning, but with 53% in favour, it's early yet to give a conclusion, and the NO side often gets more support as the campaign moves on, so a NO vote is very possible.
Well, can any Europhiles justify not giving a referendum now, and are they sure that people are going to vote YES? Just for the record, There's a lot of anger with the EU at the moment, and I'll be convincing everyone that I know that can vote that the Fiscal Treaty (rightly) will be bad for long-term prospects for Ireland.



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