August 25, 2011
The familiar NSIDC arctic sea ice area graph
for August 24.
We’re heading toward another near record low – no sign of the recovery so confidently predicted by climate deniers
over the last few years (you betcha!).
Just as interesting is the graph of ice volume
below – which is even more definitive and graphic than the area.
Note the blue triangles at the bottom. That’s this year’s ice, well below the 2007 collapse.
The NSIDC has a new “Icelights”
page, wherein they’ve invited interested parties
to submit their best estimates, as of june, for this year’s sea ice minimum, experts as well as not-so-experts.[/LEFT] [LEFT]Below – I’m sure none of my regular viewers will be surprised with the predictably brain-dead inaccuracy of science denier Anthony Watts and co.
in the projections made for this year’s final numbers.
According to the graph, Watts et al use a “heuristic” technique for estimating sea ice. Wiki defines “heuristic” as -
“experience-based techniques for problem solving, learning, and discovery.”
Given Watt’s rich experience in being grossly misinformed and misinforming, this current estimate fits the profile, with real-world ice having blown by Watt’s Pollyanna “experience based” estimate with weeks still to go in the melt season.
Oh, and that oft-touted “increase” in southern hemisphere sea ice? Not so much this year. (not that it ever outweighed what’s being lost in the north..)
We’ll approach the minimum sometime in the next few weeks, I would imagine. I’ll start working on my sea ice annual review sometime soon.