The biggest scare object the activists had in their toolbox was the rise in sea-level but as you point out Climate Scientists have been scaling back on these doomsday predictions. The forecast increase of several meters by the end of the century as per the first IPCC report has now been cut back to as little as 4 inches! Suddenly not quite so scary. This is why the warmies are now trying desperately to find a new scary phenomenon to frighten people with which is why they have lately become obsessed with the weather claiming every hot day, cold day, wet day, dry day etc etc is because of AGW.
Funny how you now quote the lowest estimate whereas at the time all the warmies were quoting the high estimate and saying even that was conservative. To refresh your memory the first IPCC report predicted an upper level of 16 cm per decade. That's 1.6 metres in 100 years which even you should notice is slightly more than the current projection of 10 cm in 100 yearsbtw My figure of several meters came from your guru James Hansen who said in New Scientist in 2007
Hansen suggests that sea level rise on the order of 5 meters this century is likely. As this flies in the face of the AGW consensus would you now label Hansen a denier especially as in arriving at his conclusion he trashed the accuracy of the climate models, all of which disagree with him. Furthermore whilst testifying in a case in California re emissions he was embarrassed to have to admit he could not name a single glaciologist who agreed with him on this matter. Surely he being so far from the consensus must make him the number one denier in your book.I find it almost inconceivable that "business as usual" climate change will not result in a rise in sea level measured in metres within a century.
Anyway it is good to see you seem to be in agreement that sea-level rise is not going to be the end of the world event once forecasted. Now can you remind me again what are we supposed to be worried about now instead?
Last edited by SAT; 28th January 2011 at 08:53 AM.
Greenland ice sheet melt accelerating.
Greenland's Ice Feels the Heat in Record-Setting 2010 - NYTimes.com
Meanwhile, the southern Greenland community of Narsarssuaq recorded its warmest-ever winter and spring, warmest May, and warmest year since observations began in 1951. The town of Aasiat in western Greenland saw its warmest year, winter, spring, and months of May and June since record keeping started in 1951.
But that unusual warmth is just the beginning of the story of what happened last year, Tedesco said.
Greenland's annual melt began earlier than normal last spring. As that melt reduced the amount of snow on the ice surface, it also "aged" the snow that remained so it became less reflective and absorbed more heat from the sun -- accelerating the melting further.