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Thread: Solar Minimum 2009, Global Cooling and the Record Breaking Winter

  1. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cassandra Syndrome View Post
    2. Are there a huge number of severe snowstorms being reported that are the worse in 100 years?

    3. Did we have only 3 Atlantic Hurricanes in 2009?
    Severe snowstorms in places where it tends to be cold in Winter, does not imply colder than average weather, but wetter than average weather.

    El-Nino, which we had in 2009, suppresses Atlantic Hurricane activity, but enhances Pacific Hurricane activity.
    1997, which had a record-breaking el-nino, also had an inactive Atlantic season, but a hyperactive Pacific Season.

    Nevertheless, 2009 did see the formation of Category 4 Atlantic Hurricane Bill, which was the fifth largest on record.
    Last edited by brigg; 25th February 2010 at 05:08 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by brigg View Post
    Severe snowstorms in places where it tends to cold in Winter, does not imply colder than average weather, but wetter than average weather.

    El-Nino, which we had in 2009, suppresses Atlantic Hurricane activity, but enhances Pacific Hurricane activity.
    1997, which had a record-breaking el-nino, also had an inactive Atlantic season, but a hyperactive Pacific Season.

    Nevertheless, 2009 did see the formation of Category 4 Atlantic Hurricane Bill, which was the fifth largest on record.
    As to the 2009 Pacific Hurricane Season:

    The 2009 Pacific hurricane season was a very active ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. The season officially started on May 15 in the eastern Pacific, and on June 1 for the central Pacific, and officially ended on November 30, 2009. For the first time in ten years, no tropical depressions formed during the month of May. This inactivity continued into the early part of June and was the least active since 1994. The first named storm of the season did not develop until June 21, marking the latest start to a Pacific hurricane season in 40 years. However, the NHC's tropical weather summary, released in early September, found that August 2009, with 7 named storms, was one of the most active Augusts on record for the basin. This level of activity had rarely, or not at all, occurred in the past 41 years, since 1968, when the most active August on record for the eastern Pacific with 9 named storms occurred.
    2009 Pacific Typhoon Season:

    During the season, 39 Tropical depressions developed within the Western Pacific, whilst 2 formed outside the region before moving into the Western Pacific.
    etc, etc. Once more CS picks only the data that agrees with him, and ignores any contradictory information.
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    Quote Originally Posted by MiHiKuFuYu View Post
    Introducing the new increased cloud cover, see it in irish skies through out the year, especially noticed during the months of summer.....

    In pictures: Asperatus: the new cloud from the appreciation society | Science | guardian.co.uk
    And that's a picture of clouds over Iowa.
    Never let the best be the enemy of the good.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ibis View Post
    Was 2009 an abnormally cold year? No, it was very warm. Any sign of a 100-year temperature minimum here?



    Argument fail.

    Sigh. Here's the solar cycle/temperature correlation from "Surface warming by the solar cycle as revealed by the composite mean difference projection" by Charles D. Camp and Ka Kit Tung (2007):



    Nice correlation...only problem is that the temperature line here excludes the warming trend.
    Where you there? Can you trust the data? I know that the Data used for GDP, CPI and unemployment are a complete inaccuracy as a representative of the truth. So why should I know trust this data? I can physical see, hear and feel the depression but not by how the data is conveyed.

    2009 was an adnormally cold year. Our own summer was cold. Anyone I know from the world bar Australia (which was January 2009) had the same experience. The Autumn had very few hurricanes. Only 3 and they were all Category 2 or lower.

    They say that 2009 was the 2nd or 3rd hottest on record is that not right? Therefore we should have been having the odd few extreme temperatures popping up here and there at the very least.

    When is the last time we had so many record breaking snowfalls (within 100 years)? I linked a report were the Arctic regions temperatures are below average as well. So where is all this heat to compensate? I know that Brazil is having a heatwave, but thats no news shock.

    Is it not highly coincidental that the sun is at a 100 year low and there are 100 year records of snowfall being recorded?
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    Quote Originally Posted by ibis View Post
    As to the 2009 Pacific Hurricane Season:



    2009 Pacific Typhoon Season:



    etc, etc. Once more CS picks only the data that agrees with him, and ignores any contradictory information.
    Your excerpt says it was the quietest start to the Pacific hurricane season in 40 years which only picked up towards the end of the season. What point did you think you were making?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cassandra Syndrome View Post
    Where you there? Can you trust the data? I know that the Data used for GDP, CPI and unemployment are a complete inaccuracy as a representative of the truth. So why should I know trust this data?
    Even Phil Jones of CRU infamy admitted in his recent interview the temperature record is dodgy and yet Ibis and co. continue to trot them out as if Moses brought them down the mountain, carved in stone, from God himself.

    Perhaps some of the alarmists on here should get professional treatment for their Heliophobia.
    Last edited by SAT; 25th February 2010 at 05:29 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cassandra Syndrome View Post
    Where you there? Can you trust the data? I know that the Data used for GDP, CPI and unemployment are a complete inaccuracy as a representative of the truth. So why should I know trust this data? I can physical see, hear and feel the depression but not by how the data is conveyed.
    Congratulations. Let's start at evolution, work up through the germ theory of disease, and then lets dismiss the current economic crisis if your personal pay-packet hasn't suffered.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cassandra Syndrome View Post
    2009 was an adnormally cold year. Our own summer was cold. Anyone I know from the world bar Australia (which was January 2009) had the same experience. The Autumn had very few hurricanes. Only 3 and they were all Category 2 or lower.

    They say that 2009 was the 2nd or 3rd hottest on record is that not right? Therefore we should have been having the odd few extreme temperatures popping up here and there at the very least.
    No, because we're not talking about "very hot". We're talking about differences of a couple of tenths of a degree. The whole industrial temperature rise is only a degree and a bit over a century - not the stuff extreme temperatures are made of.

    Quote Originally Posted by Cassandra Syndrome View Post
    When is the last time we had so many record breaking snowfalls (within 100 years)? I linked a report were the Arctic regions temperatures are below average as well. So where is all this heat to compensate? I know that Brazil is having a heatwave, but thats no news shock.

    Is it not highly coincidental that the sun is at a 100 year low and there are 100 year records of snowfall being recorded?
    Highly coincidental indeed, since snow, like rain, is wet, not particularly cold. Unless you're changing your theory to the idea that the solar cycle controls precipitation, you're using the wrong piece of evidence entirely.
    Never let the best be the enemy of the good.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cassandra Syndrome View Post
    The Autumn had very few hurricanes. Only 3 and they were all Category 2 or lower.
    El-Nino = quiet hurricane season in the atlantic.

    http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/elnino/index.html
    It is now well-accepted that El Niņo reduces hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin. Gray (1984) uses physical processes that accompany El Niņo to describe reduced hurricane activity. Gray (1984) also finds that of the 54 major hurricanes striking the United States coast during 1900-83, only four occurred during the 16 El Niņo years in contrast to 50 making landfall during the 68 non-El Niņo years. This is a rate of 0.25 major hurricanes per year during El Niņo events and 0.74 during non-El Niņo years, almost a three to one ratio.
    The 'Gray' mentioned here happens to be Dr. Bill Gray, an outspoken AGW sceptic, (just in case you are suspicious of the above data!)

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    Quote Originally Posted by ibis View Post
    As to the 2009 Pacific Hurricane Season:



    2009 Pacific Typhoon Season:



    etc, etc. Once more CS picks only the data that agrees with him, and ignores any contradictory information.
    The 2009 typhoon season (22) had one of the fewest storms on record. 2003 had 1 less and you have to go back to 1977 to find to find another year that had less (17).

    2004 had 29, 2001 and 2002 had 26 each, 1996 had 33, 1994 had 36.

    List of Pacific typhoon seasons - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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    Quote Originally Posted by ibis View Post
    Congratulations. Let's start at evolution, work up through the germ theory of disease, and then lets dismiss the current economic crisis if your personal pay-packet hasn't suffered.

    No, because we're not talking about "very hot". We're talking about differences of a couple of tenths of a degree. The whole industrial temperature rise is only a degree and a bit over a century - not the stuff extreme temperatures are made of.

    Highly coincidental indeed, since snow, like rain, is wet, not particularly cold. Unless you're changing your theory to the idea that the solar cycle controls precipitation, you're using the wrong piece of evidence entirely.
    When was the last winter that had so many record snowfalls?

    Speaking of the economic crisis, the falloff in industrial turnover is well into the double figures. Therefore Carbon Emissions will have correlated to this. So no need to worry.
    "No one rules if no one obeys" - Tao

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