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Thread: Dublin Central

  1. #21
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    maybe she will , whats your point, ?. and don't start on about "Parachute" candidates, bud, She now lives in the area and has done for a Number of years !!

  2. #22
    Politics.ie Regular Red_93's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Blanchinner View Post
    maybe she will , whats your point, ?. and don't start on about "Parachute" candidates, bud, She now lives in the area and has done for a Number of years !!
    No, just saying that's what she should do. BTW, I thought she lived in Castleknock no?

  3. #23
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    No ,Bud, she moved to the Cabra region , not sure exactly where tho , about 2 yrs ago !. i think to commit long term to the area. !

  4. #24
    Politics.ie Regular Red_93's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Blanchinner View Post
    No ,Bud, she moved to the Cabra region , not sure exactly where tho , about 2 yrs ago !. i think to commit long term to the area. !
    Fair phux. For what it's worth, I think she won't take a seat this time around, but should run in Cabra/Glasanevin in 2014 (might upset sitting cllr though), if she takes a seat (might even get the euro seat back on the same day) then she'll be in a good position for 2017.

  5. #25
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    well ,there's a lot to be got through b4 the poll. IMO there's a lot of factors tp play out ,and the major attention the the Shinners will/ are giving to the area should pay off. The O sullivan seat is defo vunerable, I have family in East wall and have seen the reaction to Maureen on the ground, Not good, !!. Then the big question is will bertie stand,?. And how bad will the anti Gov. vote actually be ?? will be a facinating battle for sure.

  6. #26
    Politics.ie Regular The Salmon of Knowledge's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Blanchinner View Post
    O Sullivan has been very poor, and it did'nt go down to well in east wall ,her home patch, when she voted with the Gov. on a number of occasions. She has expressed a desire to go back to teaching ,according to close friends. her seat is defo a left wing seat and Mary Lou has a very strong chance of taking it. Christy Burke won't run due to lack of resources. He's making a nice earner from the council and this siuts him !!
    The irony. did Sinn Féin not also vote with the government on the bank recapitialisation programme?

    I doubt that will go down to well in east wall or cabra either.

    As it is a left wing seat, that should automatically excluded Sinn Féin.

    I would'nt write burke off. that seat has been independent a long time and he has a great local profile and is a very had worker. he's also one of our own unlike mary lou.

  7. #27
    Politics.ie Regular jackryan's Avatar
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    FG Lab and probably FF in the shape of Fitzpatrick. Then Sullivan SF and if there is a big swing to lab they might have a chance of a second seat!

  8. #28
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    Dublin central will be an interesting constituency. The only sure person to retain his seat is joe costelloe of labour.

    FF hear has depended for years on a strong personal vote for bertie that could go anywhere the next time as personalities in this constituency play a huge part. Organisationally its split into two camps and remember in the bye election they came in
    5th behind SF. No safe seat here for FF.

    FG havent won in DC since the micheal keating days save when ballyfermot was included at one point in time and the late jim mitchell flew the flag. When DC was restored to its north of liffey position solely there was no FG seat. There is a volatile vote here that may or may not vote FG on the day.

    Maureen OSullivan is no Tony Gregory and is very much out of her depth the next election she will be contesting on her own record and is going to be pressed hard by both SF and labour for the hearts and minds of the left vote.

    SF with Mary Lou is certainly the dark horse. Burke never really worked with the local SF organisation between elections and as such alienated a lot of the local party workers. Mary Lou seems to have galvanised and reinvigorated SF in DC. She is building a cracking local team behind her and the longer it is to an election the more you have to favour her for a seat. If this government lasts another 18 months SF will take a seat here.

    DC is the one constituency where you could realistically have five or six candidates all polling first preferences in and around the 4000 mark. Including the two labour candidates( if they get there management right.) This will be a cracker of a count.

  9. #29
    Politics.ie Regular The Salmon of Knowledge's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crannog View Post
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    SF with Mary Lou is certainly the dark horse. Burke never really worked with the local SF organisation between elections and as such alienated a lot of the local party workers. Mary Lou seems to have galvanised and reinvigorated SF in DC. She is building a cracking local team behind her and the longer it is to an election the more you have to favour her for a seat. If this government lasts another 18 months SF will take a seat here.

    Problem is there are not too many of them who are 'Locals'.

  10. #30
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    Well , smartfish, in East wall for instance there are 5 people on the ground right now including the vice principal of the local national school and the sec. of the community centre. this is one area , but I am aware that this is replicated throughout the constituency. I can see your anti SF streak and thats fine , but stop putting rubbish up. At least fight back on policies or issues, this personal Anti mary lou thing is really childish .

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