Predicted Results for the Next Election

[gear one]

Carlow Kilkenny

McGuinness(FF), Hogan(FG), Aylward(FF), Nolan(FF), Phelan(FG)

Cavan/Monaghon

O'Hanlon(CC), Smith(FF), O'Caolain(SF), Connolly(Ind), Crawford(FG)

Clare

Killeen(FF), J. Breen(Ind), P. Breen(FG), Daly(FF)

Cork East

Ahern(FF), Bradford(FG), O'Keefe(FF), Stanton(FG)

Cork North Central

O'Flynn(FF), Kelleher(FF), Allen(FG), Lynch(Lb)

Cork North West

Murphy(FG), O'Keefe(FF), D. Moynihan(FF)

Cork South Central

Martin(FF), Coveney(FG), Boyle(GP), Dennehy(FF), Clune(FG)

Cork South West

O' Donovan(FF), O'Keefe(FG), Sheehan(FG)

Donegal North East

Keaveney(FF), Mac Lochlainn(SF), McHugh(FG)

Donegal South West

Gallagher(FF), Coughlan(FF), Doherty (SF)

Dublin Central

Ahern(FF), Gregory(Ind), McDonald(SF), Costello(Lb)

Dublin Mid West

Harney(PD), Curren(FF), Gogarty(GP), Fitzgerald(FG)

Dublin North

Sargent(GP), Kennedy(FF), Daly(SP), Reilly(FG)

Dublin North Central

Haughey(FF), Bruton(FG), Callely(FF)

Dublin North East

Broughan(Lb), Brady(FF), Sweeney(FG)

Dublin North West

Ahern(FF), Ellis(SF), Shortall(Lb)

Dublin South

Brennan(FF), Kitt(FF), Mitchell(FG), Ryan(GP), Shatter(FG)

Dublin South Central

Ardagh&Mulcahy(2FF), O'Snodaigh(SF), Mitchell or C.Byrne(FG), Upton(Lb)

Dublin South East

Gormley(GP), McDowell(PD), Quinn(Lb), Creighton(FG)

Dublin South West

Crowe(SF), Lenihan(FF), Hayes(FG), Rabbitte(Lb)

Dublin West

Lenihan(FF), Higgins(SP), Varadkar(FG)

Dun Laoghaire

Hanafin(FF), Gilmore(Lb), Barrett(FG), Andrews(FF), Cuffe(GP)

Galway East

Treacy(FF), Connaughton(FG), Burke(FG), Kitt(FF)

Galway West

O'Cuiv(FF), Fahy(FF), Higgins(Lb), Grealish(PD), O'Brolchain(GP)

Kerry North

McEllistrim(FF), Ferris(SF), Deenihan(FG)

Kerry South

O'Donoghue(FF), Moynihan-Cronin(Lb), Fitzgerald(FG)

Kildare North

Fitzpatrick(FF), Durkin(FG), Murphy(Ind), Stagg(Lb)

Kildare South

Power(FF), Wall(Lb), O'Fearghail(FF)

Laois/Offaly

Cowen(FF), Maloney(FF), Enright(FG), Parlon(PD), Flanagan(FG)

Limerick East

O'Dea(FF), Noonan(FG), O'Sullivan(Lb), Power(FF), O'Malley(PD)

Limerick West

Cregan(FF), Neville(FG), Finnucane(FG)

Longford/Westmeath

Penrose(Lb), O'Rourke(FF), Bannon(FG), Kelly(FF)

Louth

Ahern(FF), O'Dowd(FG), Morgan(SF), Kirk(FF)

Mayo

Ring(FG), Kenny(FG), Carty(FF), Cowley(Ind), O'Mahoney(FG)

Meath East

Wallace(FF), McEntee(FG), Fitzgerald(Ind)

Meath West

English(FG), Dempsey(FF), Brady(FF)

Roscommon/South Leitrim

Naughton(FG), Finneran(FF), Feighan(FG)

Sligo/North Leitrim

Perry(FG), Devins(FF), Scanlon(FF)

Tipperary North

Lowry(Ind), Hoctor(FF), Coonan(FG)

Tipperary South

Hayes(FG), Healy(Ind), McGrath(FF)

Waterford

Cullen(FF), Deasy(FG), Fitzgerald(Lb), Cullinane(SF),

Wexford

Browne(FF), Howlin(Lb), Connick(FF), Twomey(FG), Kehoe(FG)

Wicklow

Roche(FF), McManus(Lb), Timmins(FG), Fox(Ind), Kelly(Lb)



Fianna Fail 66
Fine Gael 49
Labour 18
Sinn Fein 10
Green Party 7
Progressive Democrats 5
Socialist Party 2
Independants 9

[candid]

One change.....

Galway East

Treacy(FF), Connaughton(FG), Cannon(PD), Kitt(FF)

Mark my words, it will happen, even FG are admitting it already.

[codology]

well if FG are admitting it it must be true

[FutureTaoiseach]

LOL

According to FG. In other words risible!

And remember, the Flannery prediction was a good while before Bertiegate, which has transformed the situation from beforehand. I place no trust whatever in these predictions.

The PDs will keep at least 6 seats and possibly gain some. FG is on 23% - 0.5% ahead of last election. They will perform poorly.

For this prediction to be true, Liz O'Donnell would have to lose her seat. Yeah right!

Codology of the highest order....

Anyway recall the polls a few weeks before the 2002 election, placing Tim O'Malley on 4.8% and predicting the loss of the PD seat. Oh and the one placing McDowell on 6th place in DSE. And the ones showing the PDs would lose Galway West. Remember Fiona O'Malley on 4.5%. Oh yes those were some gems....and there are some more above....thank you gear....ever considered stand-up?

Candid is right - PD councillors scored 24% in Galway in 2004. There is definitely a second PD seat in Galway. Probably Cannon otherwise why were the Blueshirts so desperate to poach him? :wink:

I understand polls earlier this year were placing Fiona O'Malley on 9% 1st preferences in Dun Laoghaire - ahead of Cuffe on 6% and some others. She will hold.

Gear's prediction that Lucinda will take a seat in DSE is especially laughable considering she's on 8% in the IMS poll in the MOS. The title of this thread should be edited because it is misleading. We are not being told by who this prediction is being made and on what basis. We are not being shown transfer patterns. In short this is another desperate stunt by a dying party....

[owenfeehan]

One change.....

Galway East

Treacy(FF), Connaughton(FG), Cannon(PD), Kitt(FF)

Mark my words, it will happen, even FG are admitting it already.

Are you Ciaran Cannon or something? You never stop talking about him.

[codology]

One change.....

Galway East

Treacy(FF), Connaughton(FG), Cannon(PD), Kitt(FF)

Mark my words, it will happen, even FG are admitting it already.

Are you Ciaran Cannon or something? You never stop talking about him.

[codology]

Will the real Ciaran Cannon please stand up

[candid]

One change.....

Galway East

Treacy(FF), Connaughton(FG), Cannon(PD), Kitt(FF)

Mark my words, it will happen, even FG are admitting it already.

Are you Ciaran Cannon or something? You never stop talking about him.

No , but he is our only candidate in Galway East, he is the candidate I am already out canvassing for, so for the next few months I will take every opportunity to raise his profile and believe me, he is in with a good chance of a seat. If Ulick Burke is all he has to contend with in South Galway then that chance of a seat becomes a very real possibility.

We just spent all of today in the Portumna area and the reaction we got was very positive, people in that part of Galway feel that they are very badly represented.

[jmcc]

Waterford

Cullen(FF), Deasy(FG), Fitzgerald(Lb), Cullinane(SF),

Who is Fitzgerald? I thought Brian O'Shea was Labour's candidate here.
( http://www.labour.ie/brianoshea/ )
Regards...jmcc

[gear one]

Waterford

Cullen(FF), Deasy(FG), Fitzgerald(Lb), Cullinane(SF),

Who is Fitzgerald? I thought Brian O'Shea was Labour's candidate here.
( http://www.labour.ie/brianoshea/ )
Regards...jmcc

Sorry jmcc. Replace 'Fitzgerald' with Brian O' Shea. I was getting tired by the time i got to Waterford!