Translating election-results into seats

[Supermanpolitician]

Interesting but as long as the current government holds on, won't read too much into it.

But if the government's performance worsens, which is possible, they might regret not calling an election sooner.

[tenderloins1]

2004 Tribune predictions based on local election results
Overall
FF 60 (down 21)
FG 56 (up 25)
Lab 21 (up 1)
Sinn Fein 9 (up 4)
Greens 5 (down 1)
PDs 4 (down 4)
Socialist Party 1
Others 9 (down 1)

Whats interesting was that the future FF support was totally underestimated.
Fine Gaels over estimated.
Labour pretty similar to what it came out as.
Sinn Fein was expected to make a breakthrough in Dublin which didn't happen.


Carlow KK - 2 FF, 2 FG, 1 Lab

Cavan-Monaghan -2 FF, 2FG, 1 SF

Clare -2 FF, 1 FG, 1 IND

Cork East -2 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab

Cork NC- 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 SF

Cork NW - 1 FF, 2 FG

Cork SC - 2 FF, 2 FG, 1 Lab

Cork SW - 1 FF, 2 FG

Donegal NE - 2 FF, 1 FG

Donegal SW - 2 FF, 1 FG

Dublin C - 1 FF, 1 Lab, 1 SF, 1 Ind

Dublin Mid West - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 GP

Dublin N - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 GP

Dublin NC - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 SF

Dublin NE - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab

Dublin NW - 1 FF, 1 Lab, 1 SF

Dublin S - 2 FF, 1 FG, 1 GP , 1 Lab

Dublin SC - 1 FF, 1 FG, 2 Lab, 1 SF

Dublin SE - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 GP

Dublin SW - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 SF

Dublin W - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 SP

Dun Laoghaire - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 PD, 1 GP

Galway E - 1 FF, 2 FG, 1 Ind

Galway W - 2 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 PD

Kerry N - 1 FF, 1 SF, 1 FG

Kerry S- 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Ind

Kildare N - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 INd

Kildare S- 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab

Laois-Offaly - 2 FF, 2 FG, 1 PD

Limerick E - 1 FF, 2 FG, 1 Lab, 1 PD

Limerick West - 1 FF, 2 FG

Longford-Westmeath - 1 FF, 2 FG, 1 Lab

Louth - 2 FF, 1 FG, 1 SF

Mayo - 2 FF, 3 FG

Meath East - 2 FF, 1 FG

Meath West - 2 FF, 1 FG

Roscommon South Leitrim - 2 FF, 1 FG

Sligo- North Leitrim - 1 FF, 2 FG

Tipp North- 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Ind

Tipp South - 1 FF, 1 FG, 1 Ind

Waterford - 1 FF, 2 FG, 1 Lab

Wexford - 2 FF, 2 FG, 1 Ind

Wicklow - 2 FF, 1 FG, 1 Lab, 1 Ind


*I suppose this serves as a warning that FF can still come back from low results, they got 18 more seats than predicted here.