Do Fine Gael actually want this government to fall?
The reason I ask is that this motion of no confidence does not, imo, have a chance at success but the question is...do they actually want it to succeed?
If it did succeed,
FG would (assuming that
Lab refuse to go in with
FF) have to go into government and take control of the economy in the worst economic climate to hit the country in many years. This would mean that they would have to take very tough, and ultimately unpopular decisions to clean up the mess made by the
FF government.
They did this in the eighties and early nineties and look where that got them? Alan Dukes (The Tallaght Strategy) and Garreth Fitz, made decisions which were good for the country and bad for the party, turned the economy around and....left them in opposition for over 12 years now...
Would it not be more intelligent to attempt to stay out of power for the next two years, let
FF make horrible and unpopular decisions and then when the world economy is recovering somewhat come in (rising tide raising all boats etc.) and take the credit for turning things around?
This could have a two-fold effect of ensuring that
FF lose their support for a long time and ensuring that
FG when they do get in, actually have the ability to implement the changes they want to make without damaging their reputation.
Just putting it out there to see what other posters think.