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About LinkBacksLets hope the footie goes well, it will be the perfect weekend if FF are destroyed also.Originally Posted by kerrynorth
Lets hope the footie goes well, it will be the perfect weekend if FF are destroyed also.
Garret Fitzgerald offered the opinion that RedC might be the more accurate at the moment as people would be more inclined to vote FF than actually admit it to a pollster.
On that basis the figures are FFing awful - almost as bad as MRBI/IT.
There are times when you are simply required to be impolite. There are times when condescension is called for!
- Aaron Sorkin writing as President Bartlet to Obama, NYT 21/09/2008
You can't build a smart economy based on dumb decisions.
- Richard Bruton 18/12/2008
If the Greens hold any it will be Sargent in Dublin North - they will come back with one seat at best.
It is unlikely that there will be 17 Others - but double figures is possible.
[quote=nephinman;1714862]As far as I know FG are now leading in the over 65s. FF's vote collapsed with the medical card debacle.
Only if the can find enough cabbages to vote for the FF-Lite waster.
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Double figures is in fact extremely probable on those figures (2 of them are your lot!). Most of the 17 have returned Oth TDs in the last 7 years already.
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in terms of tracking over time red c are the best as in as far as possible they poll the same people each time, so they are a true tracking poll whereas MRBI although very scientific and with a larger sample size is made up of different punters each time so movement is not as easy to track, it is however an accurate moment in time picture whereas red c are the ones to llok at if we are trying to spot trends / surges.
FF's core vote is now the unemployed and those on social welfare.
How long will that last when they start cutting payments?
Then who are these people? And what is wrong with them?
Is it simply the case that 20% of the population are retarded and/or psychologically disturbed? "My tribe right or wrong" only goes so far, after all events of the last year surely the fact that the current FF party is completely useless must start bleeding through the concrete skull of even the most dedicated follower?
Thats not true, nor would you want it to be true. They sample 1000 people each month, not the same 1,000 people. With that you get a margin of error of +-3%. If, for some reason that there was some systematic problem with the sample that you are picking, then tracking the same people would increase this problem. For this reason, and others, they use a randomly sampled sample (which, as far as I am aware is representative of the wider population).
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