It is the silent ones that
FF are very afraid of Nessa. As someone who's canvassed in one form or another over half my life, you get used to a certain level of lets call it abuse on a doorstep, from blind partisan abuse, to a curse on all your houses abuse. It took me a while to understand the long in the tooth FFers who advised me never to worry about these people... they were never going to vote for you, or never going to vote for anyone.
FF always relied on there 30% "silent core vote", who smiled at everyone on the doorstep, wished everyone well, and then voted
FF as they had always done, along with the generation before them
But
FF canvassers and candidates are admitting that it is different this time. Where before they could go into a large housing estate, and pick up 30-40% of the vote, they are being told no by their "core", and having to deal with the abuse from the rest. Canvassers simply aren't willing to put up with it, leaving candidates merciless, and in many cases, on the point of simply walking away.
This also happened up to 3 weeks before the General Election in 2007, but Brian Cowens tour de force on the economy turned the whole election around at the very end. Also Enda's inability to land a telling blow on Bertie in the debate didn't help.
But there is no rabbit to be pulled from the hat this time. Cowen can't claim that
FF are the only party who can mind the economy, for obvious reasons. There is no leaders debate to show up the Opposition.
Frankly, from canvasssing myself, the most obvious response I am getting from what I personally knew were rock solid
FF supporters, is a sense of tiredness. That
FF are just there too long, and have lost their own people. They want to get rid a lot of the faces that haev been quota squatting for decades, and replace them with new blood. They have resigned to do this, by turfing
FF councillors out this time (and will in any GE in the next few years), to give
FF an opportunity to re-invigorate itself, and will then go back to the "real
FF party"
This spells a lot of trouble for
FF candidates in June, local and European.
Based on that response by the way, may I wish you the best in your own election. I predict that you will win a seat. And well done to you.
Though it is just a pity that one of your first jobs as MEP will be to try to push through "Lisbon 2" against the wishes of the people as already expressed in referendum