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About LinkBacksIs there a REDC poll out in tomorrows SBP?
Any predictions?
Is there a REDC poll out in tomorrows SBP?
Any predictions?
Last edited by David Cochrane; 21st December 2008 at 02:11 PM. Reason: Fixed spelling
RIRA not in my name-Traitors to Ireland MMcGuinness; People are entitled to cultural & social equality MLMcDonald; We have a length to go understanding unionism GAdams
that the government parties aint gonna like it, though Greens may not take as much of a beating as FF. FG & Lab will hold or increase (expect increase), SF / Ind's will remain as is or within the usual margin of errorOriginally Posted by factual
Interesting and bold predictions.
The FG/Lab share in the last poll was very high and represented a big change from traditional support.
It seems to me that party support will drift back to their normal parties as people gradually get over the shock.
Therefore I predict that FG+Lab will be down and FF up.
The PD support will stay with FG though.
SF support will stay firm.
RIRA not in my name-Traitors to Ireland MMcGuinness; People are entitled to cultural & social equality MLMcDonald; We have a length to go understanding unionism GAdams
Presume Kerrynorth will give us a preview....?
Re support levels - wouldnt be a surprise to see FF still being hammered. Not like they have been full of good news stories recently
Should be one anyway, tis 4 weeks since the last one.
How about instead of the pointless predictions we just list the things that have happened in politics over the last 4 weeks that could influence the figures.
- Labour conference
- Fás scandal
- Pork recall
- Lenihan's admission that the budget was based on incorrect figures (and his admission that he only knew about the downturn in July).
- Bank Recapitalisation announcement last sunday
Any other things?
Ireland Her Own and All Therein, From the Sod to the Sky - James Fintan Lalor
Yes I am hoping that Kerry North will give us a preview.
However I think the results are out usually at 9pm on RTE.
RIRA not in my name-Traitors to Ireland MMcGuinness; People are entitled to cultural & social equality MLMcDonald; We have a length to go understanding unionism GAdams
Doubt if the Labour conference will make much difference.
Other things that happened are the generally poor economic backdrop. The change in VAT. And the hints of a second referendum for Lisbon treaty. None of these things likely to bolster FF but I still think support will drift back to them as they are seen to be taking the economic crisis seriously.
RIRA not in my name-Traitors to Ireland MMcGuinness; People are entitled to cultural & social equality MLMcDonald; We have a length to go understanding unionism GAdams
It is a very odd time for a poll (there are far too many anyway) but the numbers of don't knows should increase as fine gael's numbers retreat to the mean.
my prediction is no poll (or pole)
(knowing my luck it'll be out as I post..............)
If there is one
FF 28%
FG 31%
LP 17%
SF 9%
GP 4%
OTH 10%
Opinion Polls Blog
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Yes, reversion to the mean should be expected as people gradually adjust to the shock. FGs support will leave more gradually than it came but (unlike SF support) leave it surely will?
RIRA not in my name-Traitors to Ireland MMcGuinness; People are entitled to cultural & social equality MLMcDonald; We have a length to go understanding unionism GAdams
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