Red c poll

[Sidewinder]

If you use the average vote to seat ratios from the last four elections it would give you this;

FF : 52
FG : 61
Lab : 28
PDs : 3
GP : 7
SF : 6
Ind/Others : 9

Still no overall majority for FG & Labour.

Planet Earth calling Keith....Earth calling Keith....we seem to have lost contact, are you there? Keith?

FG 61 plus Lab 28 equals 89 seats, out of a Dail with 166 seats.

Or a comfortable overall majority.

D'ye know what you are? You and the likes of that ludicrous oaf Defeated Romantacist and the increasingly disconnected-from-reality Future Taoiseach? Yer a pack of crawling little bootlickers. Yer petty, small-minded, wearingly mediocre and dull little men with delusions of adequacy. And you are grovellers to current power, without the wit to see which way the wind is blowing.

Yer all, every one of you, that kid in national school who switched football team allegiance every year, based on last year's winners, in a pitiful effort to seem with-it and in the cool winning camp.

You are the incompetents in this study.

Have a nice day.

[peadarmc]

Indeed, that's always the problem with ready these polls and extrapolating them into seats in a PR system. Parties like the Greens depend on transfers for seats. I would say that they could well get the same first preference vote as they got last year and lose two thirds of their seats as they would be far less likely to get transfers.

indeed, fair point you make but if the transfers amount to voting for either SF, FF, or Greens, would the greens not be more likely to hold their transfers in than situation?

[toxic avenger]

Ff 26 -10; fg 33 +5; lab 15 +6; green 6 -1; sf 10 +1; pd 2 -1; others 8 nc.

FG did relatively well after all, I expected Labour to pick up most of the disaffected, their performance this last week has been impressive. FF's attitude will be much as articulated above, an expected and temporary decline due to extraordinary circumstances. I think they're wrong, I suspect that this is going to become entrenched, much like happened to John Major in September 92 after the run on the pound. We'll know by Christmas.

[Odyessus]

[quote=myksav;1253858]

Agreed, but the pool of talent within FF is pretty limited!

Dev Óg just about managed to get through Saturday View by shouting interuptions at everyone else, how the guy is still in Politics amazes me![/QUOTE]

You could tell who was ranting?? What I heard was a cacophony of the all shouting at each other. Most f the time, I couldn't even tell what they were talking about. Rice was hopeless as a presenter. Just sat back and let everyone rant.

That's par for the course on RTE.

[CookieMonster]

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[droghedasouth]

Ff 26 -10; fg 33 +5; lab 15 +6; green 6 -1; sf 10 +1; pd 2 -1; others 8 nc.

Do you have the raw data?
In particular, have FF voters just moved to don't know or have some actually made the leap to FG or Labour?

I suspect a very big increase in don't knows.