REDC/SBP Poll Result 29th January 2011

[Kerrygold]

"Eating into a cul de sac" make no sense on a vast number of levels.

Don't worry about him, he's missing his ex brain.

[flavirostris]

It was mentioned that the local elections are crucial for emerging GE candidates.

2014 is only two years away.

Fianna Fáil won 25% of the vote in 2009. They need to maintain this vote share just to stand still, let alone add in new blood.

They've gone from 17% to 18% in the space of a year meaning they may hit 20% come LE 2014.

That still means they lose 1/5 of their council seats!!!

Fianna Fáil need to turn this around fast, it's a sinking ship at the moment.

You wonder how long they will limp on before reality sinks in that the party is finished and they are formally dissolved.

[Chrisco]

It was mentioned that the local elections are crucial for emerging GE candidates.

2014 is only two years away.

Fianna Fáil won 25% of the vote in 2009. They need to maintain this vote share just to stand still, let alone add in new blood.

They've gone from 17% to 18% in the space of a year meaning they may hit 20% come LE 2014.

That still means they lose 1/5 of their council seats!!!

Fianna Fáil need to turn this around fast, it's a sinking ship at the moment.

The local factor will kick in at the locals. I expect them to hold their own at council level (which is in effect going backwards), and while their Euro vote will, I think drop slightly, they will manage to retain their three seats, unless Pat the Cope retires, in which case Ganley or Sinn Fein could be in with a shout.

[Panopticon]

And without doubt, the happiest people with that breakdown will be SF. People expressing vote likeliehood for SF are much more loyal than for any other party.. they hold onto most of the voters they got last time.. and they are eating away into their biggest rivals vote consistently.. plus, it's their highest ever rating in a RedC poll.. and given RedC's record for being very close to being on the button, that has to be good..

I agree - and RedC seemed to get the Sinn Féin share, at least, correct in 2011.