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http://www.redcresearch.ie/documents/23 ... rtDeck.pdf
Page 9 has a nice chart showing the relationship between undecideds and the increase in the FF vote. More evidence of the 'soft FF' vote being won over in the last week of the campaign.
"Consistency is the last refuge of the unimaginative."
Oscar Wilde
AHERN HIMSELF said that redC are the most accurate
so by his standards:
ff- looking at 15 seat losses
fg - heading over the 50 mark
Great boost for the Rainbow.
Game On.
RED C interviewed a random sample of 1000 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 21st and 22nd May 2007. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results weighted to the profile of all adults. .
Is this being published tomorrow in the Examiner or what's going on ? I thought there were no more national polls ?????
Rubbish. They got 77 seats on 39% in 1997. You are talking through your hat.Originally Posted by rover
On 43% the Rainbow wouldn't have an overall majority. FF-PD mightn't have it either - but tighter inter-FF transfers will ensure as many seats as the Rainbow. Conclusion? Possible govts:
FF-PD-Ind (the 1997 arrangement of FF and PD propped up by Healy-Rae and co.)
FF-Labour: 49% (would have overall majority)
FF-Green: 44% (might or mightn't have overall majority but might get in with Indo support)
FF-SF: 47% would prob have overall majority - vote PD to stop this
Overall then the conclusion of this poll is that FG won't get into govt. And it shows the PDs are making a fightback and will do better than expected.
Yes they do. Read that .pdf link I put up. FF are at 39% unadjusted.
"Consistency is the last refuge of the unimaginative."
Oscar Wilde
Poll - Thursday 24th. (leaked to me by God)
SF - 12%
The undecideds are breaking towards FF and I don't see FG breaking 50 seats if they come under 26%. FF were always going to lose seat and FG gain in this election. It is nothing new.
Relax rover. Good boy.
"Consistency is the last refuge of the unimaginative."
Oscar Wilde
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