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Thread: I bet Sinn Féin wil lose a seat or two!

  1. 26th February 2007, 10:44 AM #1
    GJG
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    I bet Sinn Féin wil lose a seat or two!

    I'm willing to wager that Sinn Féin will lose one or more seats in the 2007 Dáil election. I realise (before I am deluged in SF we're-going-to-win-50-seats posts) that this isin't exactly an odds-on bet, so I'm going to bet €100 with whoever will give me the best odds.

    This is a serious bet, so don't offer odds if you're not willing to stand behind them. I suggest sending both stakes to a neutral party via PayPal who can pay out after the election.

    For clarity, if all five of the current SF TDs retain their seats, I lose. If one or more of the current SF TDs do not get re-elected in the constituency they are currently in (or a successor constituency, in the event of boundary changes), then I win. Who's up for it?

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  3. 26th February 2007, 10:50 AM #2
    QuizMaster
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    I'm not up for it because I agree with you.
    They will make net gains.
    I'd say they will gain 2 in Donegal and maybe 1 or 2 somewhere else, but not all their seats are safe, with most pressure on Ferris.
    If there is a future, it will be Green.
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  4. 26th February 2007, 10:52 AM #3
    GJG
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuizMaster
    I'm not up for it because I agree with you.
    They will make net gains.
    I'd say they will gain 2 in Donegal and maybe 1 or 2 somewhere else, but not all their seats are safe, with most pressure on Ferris.
    The market will decide! ;-)

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  5. 26th February 2007, 10:54 AM #4
    kerrynorth
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    I'm up for it GJG. What odds are you offering.
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  6. 26th February 2007, 11:03 AM #5
    Kerrygold
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    I'll have a piece of that.
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  7. 26th February 2007, 11:04 AM #6
    Kerrygold
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    I'll have a piece of that.
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  8. 26th February 2007, 11:06 AM #7
    Kerrygold
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    Quote Originally Posted by QuizMaster
    I'm not up for it because I agree with you.
    They will make net gains.
    I'd say they will gain 2 in Donegal and maybe 1 or 2 somewhere else, but not all their seats are safe, with most pressure on Ferris.
    Obviously most pressure will be on Ferris as he is in a 3 seater. But who else do think is under pressure?
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  9. 26th February 2007, 11:17 AM #8
    QuizMaster
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    Only O'Caoilean is safe.

    Don't get me wrong, it is quite possible they will have no losses but I wouldn't like to put my shirt on it.

    I'd say SF wish the general election was a year or 2 ago. They would have done a lot better then.

    If they get 7% as the latest poll says, they will be lucky to turn that into 5 or 6% of the seats, which works out as 8 to 10. I think the 2 Donegals are looking good and Dublin Central is better than evens. Where are SF's next best hopes?
    If there is a future, it will be Green.
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  10. 26th February 2007, 11:23 AM #9
    DOD
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    How much are we betting? The only one I see in danger is O' Snodaigh.
    "John Bull has got his hand down your pants and his fist around your bollox and you can't see it."
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  11. 26th February 2007, 11:24 AM #10
    DOD
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    How much are we betting? The only one I see in danger is O' Snodaigh.
    "John Bull has got his hand down your pants and his fist around your bollox and you can't see it."
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