For Number-Vrunching Anoraks : Belfast Votes and Transfers

[Casualbets]

Hi

What follows is an analysis of the votes and transfers in each EA - the oercentages and seats each party got (and change in such), where the transfers went on each count( the transferring party followed by all parties available to receive transfers and what they got) and finally if calculable how far the runner-up was behind the last candidate elected....

LOWER FALLS
5 seats

SF 85%(+5) 5(+1)
SDLP 12%(-4) 0(-1)
WP 3%(-1)

NAT 97%(+1) 5
OTHS 3%(-1)

Transfers :
WP - SDLP 55%, SF 13%, NT 32%
SF - SF 94%, SDLP 3%, NT 3%
SF - SF 88%, SDLP 10%, NT 2%

SF beat SDLP by 2.8%


UPPER FALLS
5 seats

SF 75%(+7) 4
SDLP 25%(-4) 1

NAT 100% 5

Transfers :
SF - SF 93%, SDLP 6%, NT 1%
SDLP - SDLP 86%, SF 13%, NT 1%
SF - SF 92%, SDLP 6%, NT 2%


OLDPARK
6 seats

SF 48%(+1) 3
DUP 22%(+7) 1
SDLP 16%(-3) 1
UUP 8%(+1) 1(+1)
PUP 4%(-6) 0(-1)
GP 2%
WP 1%

NAT 64%(-2) 4
UNI 34%(+3) 2
OTH 2%(-1)

Transfers :
DUP - UUP 69%, PUP 25%, GP 3%, SDLP 1%, SF <1%, WP <1%, NT 1%
SF - SF 86%, SDLP 10%, GP <1%, WP <1%, PUP <1%, UUP 0%, NT 3%
SF - SF 84%, SDLP 9%, UUP<1%, PUP <1%, NT 6%
SDLP - SDLP 77%, SF 8%, UUP 2%, PUP <1%, NT 12%
SDLP - SF 42%, UUP 8%, PUP 8%, NT 42%


POTTINGER
6 seats

DUP 42%(+6) 3(+1)
UUP 22%(-7) 1(-1)
PUP 11%(-2) 1
SF 9%(-1) 0(-1)
ALL 7%(+2) 1(+1)
SDLP 6%(+3)
SPNI 2%
WP 1%

UNI 75%(-4) 5
NAT 15%(+3) 0(-1)
OTH 10%(+1) 1(+1)

Transfers :
DUP - DUP 82%, PUP 11%, UUP 4%, ALL 1%, SPNI <1%, SDLP <1%, WP <1%, SF 0%, NT 1%
UUP - UUP 69%, PUP 16%, ALL 7%, DUP 5%, SDLP 1%, SF 1%, SPNI 1%, WP <1%, NT <1%
UUP - DUP 26%, ALL 25%, PUP 18%, SDLP 4%, SF <1%, NT 27%
SDLP - ALL 56%, SF 20%, DUP 1%, NT 23%

ALL beat SF by 2.7%


VICTORIA
7 seats

DUP 38%(+10) 3(+1)
UUP 33%(-4) 2(-1)
PUP 2%(-2)
ALL 23%(+0) 2
SDLP 2%(+1)
CONS 2%(+1)

UNI 73%(+4) 5
OTH 25%(-5) 2
NAT 2%(+1)

Transfers :
DUP - DUP 91%, UUP 6%, CON 1%, PUP 1%, ALL 1%, SDLP <1%, NT <1%
ALL - ALL 80%, UUP 10%, SDLP 4%, DUP 3%, CONS 1%, PUP 1%, NT 1%
UUP - UUP 72%, DUP 13%, ALL 6%, CONS 3%, PUP 2%, SDLP 1%, NT 3%
DUP - DUP 89%, UUP 5%, PUP 1%, ALL 1%, CONS 1%, SDLP <1%, NT 3%
UUP - UUP 69%, ALL 4%, CONS 2%, PUP 1%, SDLP 1%, NT 23%

ALL beat UUP by 3.3%


BALMORAL
6 seats

SDLP 33%(+3) 2
DUP 22%(+12) 2(+1)
UUP 20%(-15) 1(-1)
ALL 13%(+1) 1
SF 10%(+0)
IND 2%

NAT 43%(+3) 2
UNI 42%(-6) 3
OTH 15%(+3) 1

Transfers :
IND - UUP 56%, DUP 29%, ALL 8%, SDLP 1%, SF 1%, NT 5%
SDLP - SDLP 78%, ALL 10%, SF 5%, UUP 3%, DUP <1%, NT 4%
SDLP - SDLP 82%, SF 9%, ALL 5%, UUP 2%, DUP < 1%, NT 2%
SDLP - ALL 52%, SF 43%, UUP 4%, DUP 1%
ALL - SF 42%, UUP 42%, DUP 2%, NT 14% (transfers from SDLP)
UUP - UUP 72%, DUP 20%, SF 1%, NT 7%
UUP - DUP 98%, SF 1%, NT 1%
DUP - DUP 97%, SF 2%, NT 2% (transfers from UUP)

DUP beat SF by 1.9%


CASTLE
5 seats

DUP 38%(+5) 2
SDLP 27%(-1) 2
SF 19%(+5) 1
UUP 11%(-1) 1
ALL 3%(-4)
GP 2%
WP 1%(+0)

UNI 49%(+2) 3
NAT 46%(+4) 3
OTHS 5%(-6)


Transfers :
DUP - DUP 71%, UUP 19%, ALL 1%, SF <1%, WP <1%, SDLP <1%, GP <1%, NT 8%
SDLP - SDLP 80%, SF 14%, DUP <1%, NT 6%
DUP - DUP 65%, SF 5%, NT 30%
DUP - SF 10%, NT 90%
SDLP - SF 91%, NT 9%


COURT
5 seats

DUP 68%(+34) 3(+1)
PUP 11%(-11) 1
IND 11%(-7) 1
UUP 8%(-15) 0(-1)
SF 3%(+1)

UNI 86%(+7) 5
NAT 3%(+1)
IND 11%(-8) 1


Transfers :
DUP - DUP 73%, IND 11%, PUP 7%, UUP 7%, SF 1%, NT 1%
DUP - DUP 78%, UUP 8%, IND 8%, PUP 4%, SF <1%, NT 2%
SF - UUP 16%, IND 14%, PUP 8%, NT 62%
DUP - UUP 37%, PUP 33%, IND 26%, NT 4%

PUP beat UUP by 2%


LAGAN BANK
5 seats

SDLP 32%(+3) 2
UUP 19%(-7) 1(-1)
SF 18%(+2) 1
DUP 15%(+7) 1(+1)
ALL 10%(+2)
GP 4%
SPNI 2%
WP 1%(-1)

NAT 50%(+5) 3
UNI 34%(-3) 2
OTHS 16%(-2)

Transfers :
SF - SDLP 72%, SPNI 7%, GP 6%, WP 3%, ALL 3%, UUP 2%, DUP <1%, NT 7%

SDLP beat ALL by 3.1%

[Casualbets]

That should read number-crunching, not number-vrunching btw.

[edifice.]

Is there a site giving first preferences in Derry City?

[Casualbets]

No - Derry City's site isn't carrying them, the Electoral Office of Northern Ireland isn't posing results (bad form - they of all people should be posting results as they happen) and Nicholas Whyte's NI elections site isn't updated yet.

bbc.co.uk/vote 2005 will you give an overall FPV for Derry City, but not for the individual wards....

A bit annoying...