TNS/MRBI poll, Fri Dec 1st

[hiding behind a poster]

Only the sketchiest of details so far, but FF are up one to 40%, and FG are up one to 27%. Represents a solidifying of FF's post-summer increase, and also very good news for FG - their second-highest poll in five years, and their last three MRBI figures are 28, 26, 27.

[FutureTaoiseach]

Only the sketchiest of details so far, but FF are up one to 40%, and FG are up one to 27%. Represents a solidifying of FF's post-summer increase, and also very good news for FG - their second-highest poll in five years, and their last three MRBI figures are 28, 26, 27.

I prefer Red C because they use phone-polling which is more accurate and I have more faith in their way of apportioning the undecideds. Nonetheless 40% is very good news indeed and remember - this is before the budget. They'll soon be back where they were in 2002. :wink:

[Biffo]

Oh here we go

[pfkf]

Only the sketchiest of details so far, but FF are up one to 40%, and FG are up one to 27%. Represents a solidifying of FF's post-summer increase, and also very good news for FG - their second-highest poll in five years, and their last three MRBI figures are 28, 26, 27.

if this is true it must mean awful news for the PD's, if FG are 27%, that means they could be looking at those 20+ gains next june which will make the outcome very tight indeed

FF GE02 - 41.5%, latest poll FF 40% -1.5%
FG GE02 - 22.5% latest poll FG 27% +4.5%

[Catalpa]

Are these polls based on the general opinion of those asked or their actual voting intentions?

Whatever happened to the 'don't know' category?

Also isn't it true that FF don't usually do as well in GEs than the polls indicate and FG tend to do somewhat better?

PDs could do well but a bad day could wipe them just as surely as a good day at the polls could see them back in power for another term.

Who knows what might happen between now and then?

The dollar is on slide and that can't help. The Middle East could well see a surge in political instability next year that could do nasty things to the price of a barrell etc.

World Events outside our control but which effect us nonetheless...

'Events dear boy events' as Harold MacMillan once famously said.

Could Bertie survive another payments scandal from some of his 'friends'? - Methinks not. :twisted:

[rockofcashel]

so any more news on the results .. anything on the news ?

[pfkf]

will the results be announced on primetime?

[pfkf]

FF - 40% +1
FG - 27% + 1
L - 11% no change
SF - 7% - 1
G - 4% -2
PD 3% -1
I/SP - 8% +2

all very close, bad for G, SF & PD, good for FG/FF and not bad for L

[FutureTaoiseach]

FF-PD: 43%
FG-Lab-Greens: 42%

Rainbow in tatters.

I predicted the Greens would be squeezed by the larger parties and I hope these findings on that party are confirmed by further polls. Unfortunately we'll have to wait till end of January for the next Red C one tho.

[Limerick Lad]

FF-PD: 43%
FG-Lab-Greens: 42%

Rainbow in tatters.

Hardly in tatters! One percent well within the margin of errors. Too close to call would be the pollsters interpretation.

"Pride comes before a fall"